Inter against Fiorentina is a plain level gap, and the gap holds even with Inter rotating after Europe. Inter's league attack has been producing heavy chance totals without Lautaro, while Fiorentina have not won under Vanoli and arrive missing their left side and their ball-winners. In Izmir, Aras Kargo and THY are two rebuilt volleyball sides, and the difference is which one has settled its six.
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Two very different goal pictures sit on this slip. In Eindhoven, PSV's attacking end has been taken apart and Feyenoord travel without much of a habit of creating against strong sides. In Sinsheim, Hoffenheim's press meets a Leverkusen build-up good enough to beat it, and that kind of meeting produces chances at both ends.
Two favourites whose recent numbers were built in easier conditions than the ones they face here. In Tokyo, Nagoya's unbeaten start rests on forcing turnovers, but the team they meet keeps the ball safe in close games and owns the boards. In London, Newcastle arrive rested but create very little away from home, and the errors they make in their own half are exactly what a pressing home side feeds on.
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Two matches, both decided by who has to cover the weak minutes. In Tokyo, a turnover-forcing road side meets a big rebounding home team whose guards are on their fifth game in nine days. In Yokohama, the Japan Series second game sets an ace with a long ceiling against a converted reliever, one day after a long extra-inning game that stretched one bullpen much further than the other.
Three Sultanlar Ligi matches this round share one shape: the side expected to win does not have the set-by-set dominance to run away with it. Besiktas trade sets with everyone, Galatasaray arrive at Vakifbank short of their outside reception, and Aras and THY have produced identical results against the same opponents. In each match the question is how many sets the stronger side really controls, not who wins.
Two Japanese games on this slip, and both should be closer than the names suggest. In Tokyo, unbeaten Nagoya's habit of stealing possessions runs into the best rebounding team in the league, and those two sources of extra chances should roughly cancel out. In Yokohama, Japan Series Game 2 is played without a designated hitter in cool, wet air, which squeezes the scoring and keeps the margin tight. In both games, the edge the favourite is known for runs into a fact the reputation doesn't carry.
VakıfBank's attack has the depth to control a long match, but Galatasaray has a route to interrupt it at the net. The opening sets will test whether Galatasaray's serve and block can unsettle VakıfBank before its reception settles. Aras and THY present a second contrast: THY passes well and feeds its main attackers, while Aras creates points with serve pressure and blocking. The changes each coach makes after the first set may shape how long that match lasts.
Yokohama and SoftBank enter the second game with different starters and more ways to create traffic than the opening score suggests. DeNA filled the bases early in the opener, while SoftBank's lower order produced key runs later. Beşiktaş and Göztepe bring a different contest of first contact and finishing at the net. Beşiktaş has several attacking outlets, while Göztepe's latest win showed how dangerous its outside hitters can be.
Two games where both defences give up chances and both attacks can use them, so goals look more likely than a quiet afternoon.
The Japan Series opener went eleven innings, and the two teams came out of it carrying very different bills. SoftBank got seven scoreless innings from Uezawa and then used four relievers for exactly one inning each. DeNA needed seven pitchers in total, six of them out of the pen, and it was the sixth and seventh, Iwata and Baba, who gave up the two runs in the 11th. Game 2 follows straight on with no day off, so the question is less about who starts and more about who DeNA can trust from the sixth inning on.
Two matches between sides that create plenty and defend with patched lines. Both should open up once the first goal arrives.
Two matches where the home side is the favourite on paper but the chance rows and absences tell a tighter story.
Two home sides, two opponents with holes at the back. In both games the team with the ball also has the clearer route to goals, while the visitors rely on counters and set pieces.
Two very different shapes in this pair. In Japan, a draw-prone home side meets a team that leaks goals nearly every week. In the Netherlands, two strong attacking teams meet with their defensive and midfield cover both thinned out.
Christian Ilzer says Hoffenheim want to press Leverkusen early and break their momentum. The awkward part is who has the legs for it. Hoffenheim needed a proper performance to beat Lyon 3-0 in midweek, Bambasé Conté came off early in that game and is a doubt, and Wimmer and De Cat were already out. Leverkusen made five changes for their 2-0 at OFI Crete, so Flekken, Tapsoba, Diaby and Maza are likely back fresh, and the side being pressed may well be fresher than the side doing the pressing.
Two matches built on leaky defences at both ends. Anfield and Sittard both feature sides that concede chances in volume while still producing goals of their own.
Two matches where the stronger side holds a concrete edge in how the game is set up. In Yokohama the pitching matchup and bullpen workload lean one way, and at Hull the gap in shot quality and defensive depth is wide.
Two very different matches, both decided by who controls the ball and the late innings or possessions. In Tokyo, an unbeaten away side built on pressure faces a home team in the middle of a dense week. In Yokohama, a Japan Series Game 2 pits a deep, high-scoring lineup against an offence that has been scraping runs.
Three Turkish women's volleyball matches where the question is how many sets the favourite really drops. The sets tend to be closer than the table suggests.