Two matches between sides that create plenty and defend with patched lines. Both should open up once the first goal arrives.
PSV against Feyenoord: both average about 2.1 in chance quality per game, and Feyenoord have played 4+ goal games in 8 of their last 10. Their back line is patched with Smal, Bos and Nieuwkoop out, while PSV lose Mijnans to a red card and Wanner to injury, which weakens the screen in front of their defence. PSV are strong at home, but the midfield gap and Feyenoord's 17 shots a game should produce chances at both ends. I'm backing plenty of goals here.
Liverpool against Brighton: Brighton create about 2.1 in chance quality and 20 shots a game, Liverpool concede about 1.4 and have reshuffled midfield and defence. Liverpool's recent games ran 6-3 and 4-3, and in the head-to-head record nearly every meeting has produced three or more goals. Brighton arrive on shorter rest, so the second half should open up. I'm backing goals again here.
