Wrexham have scored 15 in 13 Championship games and Middlesbrough 30, so the gap in the attack is huge. But Wrexham's absence list is where this match gets interesting: Windass, Cacace and Broadhead are out and Revan is doubtful, which hits the players who would normally create something from open play. So my question is whether a side that already struggles to score can build chances at all with that group missing, or whether it turns into a set-piece and second-ball game where Boro's strong attack is less decisive.
Wrexham first. Per our season records they are 3W 5D 5L from 13, 15 scored and 19 conceded. Five draws means many of their games stay close, which is the way they will want this one to go. The thing I would watch is who carries the ball forward with Windass and Cacace absent, because the same data shows no obvious replacement for that creative job.
Middlesbrough are 8W 4D 1L, 30 scored, 17 conceded, so they score more than two a game but also leak more than one. Our list has Jones out and Pukstas doubtful, a smaller dent than Wrexham's. Strelec is listed as available. The last league meetings were a 1-1 and a 2-2, plus a 1-0 Boro win in the League Cup in August, so Wrexham have not lost the league games against this opponent.
So the tension is clear: a visitor with the stronger record but a back line that concedes, against a home side whose draws suggest it can stay in games but whose attacking options have just thinned. I would not call it a one-sided matchup just because of the table.
