Brooklyn and Charlotte have already shown how many possessions this matchup can turn on. Charlotte's work on the offensive glass keeps it in games even when its first shot misses. Brooklyn has begun finishing defensive possessions more consistently. The next score after a turnover or rebound should matter more than an early lead.
Charlotte's Diabate and Reid can give Miller another chance, but the Hornets have also kept losing live-ball possessions. Brooklyn forced that problem in the first meeting and has since improved its work on the defensive board. Traore has taken on more scoring with Demin out, giving Porter and Randle another partner when the first action stalls.
White played limited minutes in Charlotte's last game, while Knueppel's first action remains a new piece for this matchup. Brooklyn's recent late response through Randle and Traore gives its stops a clearer scoring finish. I'm siding with the Nets at home to turn those extra possessions into the last winning basket.
