Willem's new coaching spell meets a Cambuur side that can press the first pass and change its attacking receivers. Willem can find Slory or Van Crooij behind that pressure, especially on Cambuur's changed right side. Lens and Paris FC also have a pressure-and-escape contest, with Lens looking to reach Thauvin wide and Paris seeking a quick central connection. In both matches, the first cleared ball is likely to matter as much as the first entry.
Cambuur's Baouf and Van Duijl have already covered for Amofa, with Ceka, Binder and Hamache still able to turn regains into deliveries. Bouah's suspension changes the right side, but Willem's recent chance volume has not consistently become clean finishes. Cambuur can alter its forward roles as the match develops, and Willem's coach has indicated only modest structural change. I'm siding with Cambuur to stay with Willem across the match.
Paris can press Lens's first pass and connect Sinayoko to López before the home side's last line is set. Lens have Thauvin's wide service and Ivanović's box presence, but Édouard is omitted after already missing the Rennes match; Paris's key attacking links played that fixture. Paris have more recovery time and can keep that first-pass contest active after the interval. I'm siding with Paris to turn its pressure and next pass into the decisive finish.
