This match turns on the space behind Eibar's press and Oviedo's ability to play through it. Oviedo have a real home route through Goti and Reina, while Eibar can reach the box quickly after winning the ball high. The first clean connection into either side's front line should shape the contest.
Eibar's front players press and then move to free runners arriving from midfield. Ares supplied two assists against Las Palmas, and Madariaga scored against both Las Palmas and Albacete. Oviedo can answer through Goti's passing and Reina's runs, but Eibar's pressure targets the pass from their defence into Youness or Aldasoro.
Oviedo's matchday report rules out Chris Ramos and several wide options, shifting the finishing work to less established combinations. Escandell is back in the squad after missing the last match, and Aldasoro also returns. Eibar have their familiar Elgezabal and Arbilla partnership available, with Marton and Pejino offering another attacking connection later in the game.
I expect Oviedo to push at home and Eibar to press those first outlets, with Ares and the midfield runners looking to attack before the home defence resets. If the game opens after the first goal, Marton and Pejino give Eibar another route into the box. That's why I'm siding with Eibar.
