Bournemouth's attack has been creating close chances through quick wide service and high regains. Leeds can defend the first wave with their back three, then leave through the wingbacks into the space behind Bournemouth's press. The match turns on whether both sides can finish those separate routes after the first goal.
Rayan and Tavernier can reach the outside of Leeds' cover, with Kluivert and Evanilson arriving for the next touch. At the other end, Calvert-Lewin gives Leeds a target for a cross or restart after Okafor or a wingback carries the ball forward.
Rodon remains absent after missing Leeds' last match, while Calvert-Lewin and Okafor both played in it. Bournemouth's Scott, Toth and Araujo were already absent in the cup; Rose rotated heavily there, leaving several attackers ready to return.
Bournemouth can force early close shots and then press the next Leeds exit. Leeds have had more rest, and their scoreless outing in heavy weather does not erase the box route that Villa's clear chances also exposed against Bournemouth. That's why I'm siding with a high-scoring Bournemouth–Leeds match.
