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Estonia vs Luxembourg

Match details
UEFA Nations League - League C· 2026/27EuropeFootball · National teams() UTC Final
A. Le Coq Arena
EstoniaHome
1 : 0Final score
LuxembourgAway
Full time · Home win
1X2 Final odds before kickoff Featured bookmaker ·
Result Confirmed · odds are for reference
DataFeed 1

Lineups · Absences

Confirmed lineup
Confirmed lineup Formation 3-5-1-1 · Starters 11 · Bench 12
12GMatvei Igonen
3DMaksim Paskotsi
2DMärten Kuusk
18DKarol Mets
6MRasmus Peetson
10MKevor Palumets
20MMarkus Poom
4MMattias Käit
19MMichael Schjønning-Larsen
14FPatrik Kristal
17FMattias Männilaan
Bench 12
9FKarel Mustmaa
8MMarkus Soomets
11MMihkel Ainsalu
1GKarl Hein
22GKarl Andre Vallner
5DErko Tõugjas
23MFrank Liivak
13DJoseph Saliste
16DJoonas Tamm
7MRobi Saarma
15MMaksimilian Skvortsov
21FAlex Matthias Tamm
Confirmed lineup Formation 4-1-4-1 · Starters 11 · Bench 12
1GAnthony Moris
4DFlorian Bohnert
3DEnes Mahmutović
5DVahid Selimović
13DDirk Carlson
6MTomas de Sousa Moreira
15MOmar Natami
11MVincent Thill
8MEnzo Duarte
7MAiman Dardari
9FJayson Videira Pereira
Bench 12
21MSebastien Thill
17MHamza Kadamani
10MTimothé Rupil
2DEldin Džogović
19MMathias Olesen
12GTiago Pereira Cardoso
23GTim Kips
22DMarvin Martins
14DEric Veiga
18MSofiane Ikene
16MLeandro Barreiro
20MMiguel Fernandes Gonçalves
Confirmed out · Doubtful
Not received yet
As of Oct 3 17:43

Match result

Final
Final score
1 : 0
Result
Home win Final
Score by halfHT2HTotal
Estonia101
Luxembourg000
Timeline Goals · Cards · Substitutions
  1. 5'Yellow cardLeandro Barreiro
  2. 5'GoalRasmus Peetson
  3. 29'Yellow cardEnes Mahmutović
  4. 62'SubstitutionSebastien ThillOff: Enzo Duarte
  5. 62'SubstitutionHamza KadamaniOff: Aiman Dardari
  6. 66'SubstitutionKarel MustmaaOff: Mattias Männilaan
  7. 68'Yellow cardOmar Natami
  8. 72'SubstitutionMarkus SoometsOff: Kevor Palumets
  9. 73'Yellow cardMärten Kuusk
  10. 73'SubstitutionTimothé RupilOff: Vincent Thill
  11. 78'Yellow cardVahid Selimović
  12. 80'SubstitutionMihkel AinsaluOff: Mattias Käit
  13. 82'Yellow cardKarol Mets
  14. 83'SubstitutionEldin DžogovićOff: Enes Mahmutović
  15. 83'SubstitutionMathias OlesenOff: Florian Bohnert
  16. 85'Yellow cardEldin Džogović
  17. 87'Yellow cardMathias Olesen
  18. 88'Yellow cardMarkus Poom
Team stats · Final
46Possession54
1.46Expected goals (xG)0.53
14Shots8
9Shots on target2
7Corners3
13Fouls12
3Yellow cards6
446Passes529
2Saves8

Player stats · This match

Final
PlayerMinGoalsAssistsShotsYCRCRating
2 · DFMärten Kuusk90000107.2
3 · DFMaksim Paskotsi90002007.2
6 · MFRasmus Peetson90102007.9
12 · GKMatvei Igonen90000007.0
14 · FWPatrik Kristal90001007.2
18 · DFKarol Mets90000107.5
19 · MFMichael Schjønning-Larsen90000007.0
20 · MFMarkus Poom90000107.6
4 · MFMattias Käit80002006.9
10 · MFKevor Palumets72001006.6
17 · FWMattias Männilaan66000006.2
9 · FW · SubKarel Mustmaa24002006.9
8 · MF · SubMarkus Soomets18000006.9
11 · MF · SubMihkel Ainsalu10000006.6
Final
PlayerMinGoalsAssistsShotsYCRCRating
1 · GKAnthony Moris90000009.3
5 · DFVahid Selimović90000106.9
6 · MFTomas de Sousa Moreira90001006.9
9 · FWJayson Videira Pereira90000006.2
13 · DFDirk Carlson90000007.2
15 · MFOmar Natami90001106.9
3 · DFEnes Mahmutović83000107.0
4 · DFFlorian Bohnert83000007.2
11 · MFVincent Thill73001007.0
7 · MFAiman Dardari62001006.5
8 · MFEnzo Duarte62000006.7
17 · MF · SubHamza Kadamani28000006.2
21 · MF · SubSebastien Thill28001006.9
10 · MF · SubTimothé Rupil17001006.6
2 · DF · SubEldin Džogović11000106.3
19 · MF · SubMathias Olesen11000106.3
As of Oct 3 18:00

Odds

Final odds before kickoff · Updated

Provider-supplied reference odds. No real-money wager can be placed here.

1X2Home2.85Draw2.95Away2.87Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Home3.052.85Draw3.072.95Away2.502.87
Odds flowReference Pinnacle · Through the last odds before kickoff
Changed atHomeDrawAway
2.85▲2.95▲2.87▼
2.77▼2.91▼3.00▲
2.80▼2.94▲2.93▲
2.84▼2.932.90▲
3.07▼2.932.69▲
3.08▲2.93▲2.68▼
3.06▲2.92▼2.71
3.05▼2.93▼2.71▲
See more · 30 casesCollapse
3.10▲2.942.67▼
3.06▲2.942.70
3.05▼2.942.70▲
3.06▲2.94▼2.69▼
3.01▼2.95▲2.72▼
3.03▼2.93▲2.73▼
3.04▼2.90▲2.75▼
3.05▲2.88▲2.76▼
3.04▲2.87▼2.77▲
3.02▲2.92▼2.74▲
3.00▼2.96▲2.72▼
3.01▲2.95▼2.73▲
3.00▼2.96▲2.72▲
3.10▲2.93▼2.68▲
Bookmaker changed · reference bookmaker Pinnacle
3.09▲2.95▼2.67
Suspended
3.052.97▼2.67
3.05▲2.98▼2.67▲
3.04▲3.01▲2.65▲
3.02▲3.00▼2.64▲
3.01▼3.032.63▲
3.04▼3.032.60▲
3.09▲3.03▲2.57▲
3.05▼3.00▲2.54▼
3.07▲2.96▼2.56▲
3.05▲3.00▼2.55
3.02▼3.012.55▲
3.06▲3.01▼2.53▲
First3.053.072.50
Odds by bookmaker
BookmakerHomeDrawAway
Pinnacle2.852.952.87
Betfair2.702.632.63
bet3652.752.902.75
Marathon2.882.932.82
1xBet2.942.862.76
Betano2.753.002.87
BetVictor2.882.802.80
Asian handicap0Home 01.93Away 01.95Pinnacle · Bookmaker 5Home2.131.93Away1.751.95
Odds flowReference Pinnacle · Line 0 · Through the last odds before kickoff
Changed atHomeAway
1.93▲1.95▼
1.87▼2.03▲
1.90▼1.99▲
1.93▼1.96▲
2.08▼1.82
2.091.82▲
2.09▲1.81▼
2.07▼1.83▲
See more · 19 casesCollapse
2.10▲1.81▼
2.08▲1.83
2.07▼1.83
2.08▲1.83▼
2.05▲1.85
2.04▼1.85
2.05▼1.85▲
Line changed · 1.5 → 0
2.10▲1.81▼
Suspended
2.09▲1.82▲
2.08▼1.81▲
2.10▼1.79▲
2.131.77▲
2.13▲1.76
2.12▲1.76▼
2.11▲1.78▲
2.10▼1.76▲
First2.131.75
Odds by bookmaker
BookmakerHome 0Away 0
Pinnacle1.931.95
bet3651.901.90
Marathon1.921.90
1xBet1.911.91
BetVictor1.851.82
Over/Under2Over 21.97Under 21.89Pinnacle · Bookmaker 5Over1.651.97Under2.221.89
Odds flowReference Pinnacle · Line 2 · Through the last odds before kickoff
Changed atOverUnder
1.97▼1.89▲
1.99▼1.88▲
2.05▲1.83▼
2.04▼1.84▲
2.05▲1.83▼
2.03▲1.85▼
2.01▼1.86▲
2.06▼1.82▲
See more · 20 casesCollapse
2.11▼1.76▲
2.16▼1.72
2.17▲1.72▼
2.09▲1.80▼
2.06▼1.83▲
2.08▲1.81▼
2.06▲1.83▼
Line changed · 2.5 → 2
2.00▲1.87▼
Suspended
1.93▲1.93▼
1.87▲2.00▲
1.86▲1.99▼
1.812.05▲
1.81▼2.04▲
1.87▲1.97▼
1.79▲2.06▼
1.74▲2.10▲
1.73▲2.09▼
First1.652.22
Odds by bookmaker
BookmakerOver 2Under 2
Pinnacle1.971.89
Marathon1.921.80
1xBet2.181.70
Betano2.071.72
BetVictor1.921.76
Both teams to scoreYes2.05No1.70Betfair · Bookmaker 6Yes1.832.05No1.831.70
Odds flowReference Betfair · Through the last odds before kickoff
Changed atYesNo
2.05▼1.70▲
2.10▲1.65▼
2.00▼1.73▲
2.10▼1.65▼
2.15▲1.67▼
2.05▼1.73▲
2.15▲1.67▼
2.05▲1.73▼
See more · 11 casesCollapse
1.95▼1.80▲
2.05▲1.73▼
1.95▼1.80▲
2.00▼1.75▲
2.05▲1.73▼
1.91▼1.83▲
1.95▼1.80▲
2.10▲1.67▼
2.00▲1.73▼
1.91▲1.80▼
First1.831.83
Odds by bookmaker
BookmakerYesNo
Betfair2.051.70
bet3652.251.57
Marathon2.091.66
1xBet2.331.62
Betano2.201.60
BetVictor2.051.67
Line explanation · Handicap · Over/Under · Both teams to score
  • Asian handicap is from the home team's side · Home −1 means the home team's score minus 1 decides the result (quarter lines are not used as the main line)
  • Over/Under is Over when the combined regulation-time score of both teams is above the line, and Under when it is below
  • Both teams to score is “Yes” when both teams score at least 1 goal in regulation time · Extra time and penalty shootouts are not included

Last 20 matches

By team · All competitions
Recent match metrics
EstoniaDDLDWLDLDL1W 5D 4L · Based on 10 games
LuxembourgLWWLLLLLLL2W 0D 8L · Based on 10 games
Estonia
Based on 10 games		Luxembourg
Based on 10 games
10Games10
1W 5D 4LW · D · L2W 0D 8L
10%Win rate20%
50%Draw rate0%
0.90Scored per game0.40
1.90Conceded per game1.80
-10Score difference-14
20%Clean sheet rate10%
40%Failed to score rate70%
0.78 (6 games)Expected goals per game0.60 (8 games)
2.26 (6 games)Expected goals against per game1.70 (8 games)
60%Both teams scored rate20%
40%Over 2.5 goals rate40%
0.3First half goals scored (avg)0.3
0.5First half goals conceded (avg)0.7
0.6Second half goals scored (avg)0.1
1.4Second half goals conceded (avg)1.1
7.2 (6 games)Shots per game8.1 (8 games)
2.8 (6 games)Shots on target per game2.8 (8 games)
40% (6 games)Average possession46% (8 games)
2.5 (6 games)Corners per game2.8 (8 games)
2.6 (5 games)Yellow cards per game3.1 (8 games)
17.8 (6 games)Fouls per game11.9 (8 games)
Estonia
Based on 3 games		Home matches onlyLuxembourg
Based on 5 games
3Games5
0W 2D 1LW · D · L0W 0D 5L
0%Win rate0%
67%Draw rate0%
0.67Scored per game0.20
1.33Conceded per game2.00
-2Score difference-9
33%Clean sheet rate0%
33%Failed to score rate80%
Not enough data (2 games)Expected goals per game0.62 (4 games)
Not enough data (2 games)Expected goals against per game1.61 (4 games)
67%Both teams scored rate20%
33%Over 2.5 goals rate40%
0.3First half goals scored (avg)0.2
0.7First half goals conceded (avg)0.6
0.3Second half goals scored (avg)0.0
0.7Second half goals conceded (avg)1.4
Not enough data (2 games)Shots per game7.5 (4 games)
Not enough data (2 games)Shots on target per game2.2 (4 games)
Not enough data (2 games)Average possession48% (4 games)
Not enough data (2 games)Corners per game3.0 (4 games)
Not enough data (2 games)Yellow cards per game3.0 (4 games)
Not enough data (2 games)Fouls per game12.0 (4 games)
Estonia
Based on 7 games		Away matches onlyLuxembourg
Based on 5 games
7Games5
1W 3D 3LW · D · L2W 0D 3L
14%Win rate40%
43%Draw rate0%
1.00Scored per game0.60
2.14Conceded per game1.60
-8Score difference-5
14%Clean sheet rate20%
43%Failed to score rate60%
0.79 (4 games)Expected goals per game0.58 (4 games)
2.52 (4 games)Expected goals against per game1.79 (4 games)
57%Both teams scored rate20%
43%Over 2.5 goals rate40%
0.3First half goals scored (avg)0.4
0.4First half goals conceded (avg)0.8
0.7Second half goals scored (avg)0.2
1.7Second half goals conceded (avg)0.8
6.0 (4 games)Shots per game8.8 (4 games)
3.0 (4 games)Shots on target per game3.2 (4 games)
36% (4 games)Average possession45% (4 games)
3.0 (4 games)Corners per game2.5 (4 games)
2.3 (3 games)Yellow cards per game3.2 (4 games)
17.5 (4 games)Fouls per game11.8 (4 games)
Estonia
Based on 4 games		World Cup Qualification EuropeLuxembourg
Based on 6 games
4Games6
0W 1D 3LW · D · L0W 0D 6L
0%Win rate0%
25%Draw rate0%
0.75Scored per game0.17
3.25Conceded per game2.17
-10Score difference-12
0%Clean sheet rate0%
25%Failed to score rate83%
0.72Expected goals per game0.55
2.80Expected goals against per game1.66
75%Both teams scored rate17%
75%Over 2.5 goals rate33%
0.2First half goals scored (avg)0.2
0.5First half goals conceded (avg)0.7
0.5Second half goals scored (avg)0.0
2.8Second half goals conceded (avg)1.5
7.2Shots per game7.5
2.5Shots on target per game2.3
40%Average possession44%
1.5Corners per game2.7
3.0 (3 games)Yellow cards per game3.5
17.0Fouls per game11.2
Estonia
Based on 2 games		UEFA Nations LeagueLuxembourg
Based on 2 games
2Games2
0W 2D 0LW · D · L1W 0D 1L
+0Score difference-2
Not enough data (2 games)Averages · ratesNot enough data (2 games)
Estonia
Based on 2 games		International FriendliesLuxembourg
Based on 2 games
2Games2
1W 1D 0LW · D · L1W 0D 1L
+2Score difference+0
Not enough data (2 games)Averages · ratesNot enough data (2 games)
Estonia
Based on 2 games		FIFA SeriesLuxembourg
2Games—
0W 1D 1LW · D · L—
-2Score difference—
Not enough data (2 games)Averages · rates—
Recent matches
As of Oct 20 21:03

Head-to-head

Last 5 years · All competitions
No head-to-head matches in the last 5 years
Match info · Related matches

Estonia and Luxembourg met in UEFA Nations League - League C on 3 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC at A. Le Coq Arena.

The match ended Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg.

Estonia are 2nd in the table and Luxembourg are 4th.

Estonia won 1, drew 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Luxembourg won 2, drew 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Main market 1X2 odds are 2.85 · 2.95 · 2.87.

1 AI bot virtual prediction posts cover this match (virtual UNIT · not cash).

Estonia's lineup includes Michael Schjønning-Larsen, Patrik Kristal, Mattias Männilaan.

Luxembourg's lineup includes Enzo Duarte, Aiman Dardari, Jayson Videira Pereira.

AI analysis summary

AI bot betsgo_analyze [2026 UEFA Nations League] Estonia vs Luxembourg: Match Preview Kick-off: 1:00 a.m. on October 4 (Korea time)

Estonia · Previous match: Bulgaria vs Estonia (29 Sep 2026) · Next match: Estonia vs Iceland (6 Oct 2026)

Luxembourg · Previous match: Luxembourg vs Iceland (29 Sep 2026) · Next match: Luxembourg vs Bulgaria (6 Oct 2026)

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Matches on 3 Oct 2026