[2026 UEFA Nations League] Iceland vs Bulgaria Match Preview & Analysis Kickoff: October 4, 01:00 KST
Iceland vs Bulgaria
Lineups · Absences
Confirmed lineup| 12 | G | Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson |
| 18 | D | Mikael Anderson |
| 17 | D | Aron Gunnarsson |
| 23 | D | Hörður Magnússon |
| 19 | D | Mikael Ellertsson |
| 21 | M | Arnór Sigurðsson |
| 6 | M | Andri Fannar Baldursson |
| 8 | M | Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson |
| 11 | M | Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson |
| 7 | F | Hakon Arnar Haraldsson |
| 9 | F | Orri Óskarsson |
| 3 | D | Daníel Grétarsson |
| 22 | F | Andri Guðjohnsen |
| 4 | D | Victor Pálsson |
| 10 | M | Gylfi Sigurðsson |
| 2 | D | Logi Tomasson |
| 1 | G | Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson |
| 13 | G | Anton Ari Einarsson |
| 16 | M | Stefán Teitur Þórðarson |
| 20 | M | Þórir Jóhann Helgason |
| 5 | F | Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson |
| 14 | F | Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson |
| 15 | F | Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen |
| 1 | G | Daniel Naumov |
| 19 | D | Ivan Turitsov |
| 5 | D | Kristian Dimitrov |
| 13 | D | Stefan Velkov |
| 21 | D | Dimitar Velkovski |
| 20 | M | Lukas Petkov |
| 8 | M | Andrian Kraev |
| 4 | M | Ilia Gruev |
| 11 | M | Georgi Rusev |
| 14 | F | Asen Chandarov |
| 9 | F | Atanas Iliev |
| 6 | D | Emil Tsenov |
| 16 | F | Marin Petkov |
| 7 | M | Petko Panayotov |
| 10 | F | Zdravko Dimitrov |
| 17 | F | Vladimir Nikolov |
| 12 | G | Dimitar Mitov |
| 23 | G | Aleks Bozhev |
| 15 | D | Hristiyan Petrov |
| 3 | D | Andrea Hristov |
| 2 | M | Yoni Stoyanov |
| 18 | F | Kristiyan Balov |
| 22 | M | Kristiyan Stoyanov |
Match result
Final- Final score
- 3 : 0
- Result
- Home win Final
| Score by half | HT | 2H | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 4'Yellow cardHörður Magnússon
- 10'Yellow cardLukas Petkov
- 27'Yellow cardDimitar Velkovski
- 32'Yellow cardMikael Ellertsson
- 37'GoalOrri ÓskarssonAssist: Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
- 46'SubstitutionDaníel GrétarssonOff: Aron Gunnarsson
- 46'SubstitutionAndri GuðjohnsenOff: Arnór Sigurðsson
- 55'SubstitutionMarin PetkovOff: Lukas Petkov
- 55'SubstitutionEmil TsenovOff: Ilia Gruev
- 59'Yellow cardAtanas Iliev
- 60'GoalOrri ÓskarssonAssist: Mikael Anderson
- 62'SubstitutionGylfi SigurðssonOff: Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
- 62'SubstitutionVictor PálssonOff: Andri Fannar Baldursson
- 67'SubstitutionZdravko DimitrovOff: Georgi Rusev
- 67'SubstitutionPetko PanayotovOff: Asen Chandarov
- 80'Yellow cardMarin Petkov
- 82'SubstitutionLogi TomassonOff: Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
- 83'SubstitutionVladimir NikolovOff: Atanas Iliev
- 84'Missed penaltyOrri Óskarsson
- 90'GoalMikael EllertssonAssist: Orri Óskarsson
Player stats · This match
Odds
Final odds before kickoff · UpdatedProvider-supplied reference odds. No real-money wager can be placed here.
1X2Home1.53Draw4.23Away6.48Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Home1.46→1.53Draw4.09→4.23Away6.79→6.48
| Changed at | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.53▲ | 4.23▼ | 6.48▼ | |
| 1.51▼ | 4.28▲ | 6.73▲ | |
| 1.54▼ | 4.16▲ | 6.46▲ | |
| 1.56▲ | 4.14▼ | 6.24▼ | |
| 1.44 | 4.63▼ | 7.33▼ | |
| 1.44 | 4.67▲ | 7.40▲ | |
| 1.44▼ | 4.65▲ | 7.38▲ | |
| 1.45 | 4.64 | 7.28▼ |
See more · 31 casesCollapse
| 1.45 | 4.64▼ | 7.29▲ | |
| 1.45 | 4.65▲ | 7.25▲ | |
| 1.45▲ | 4.63▼ | 7.22▼ | |
| 1.44 | 4.68▲ | 7.38▲ | |
| 1.44▼ | 4.64▲ | 7.33▲ | |
| 1.45▼ | 4.62▲ | 7.16▲ | |
| 1.47 | 4.54▲ | 7.02▼ | |
| 1.47 | 4.50▼ | 7.03▲ | |
| 1.47 | 4.52 | 7.02▲ | |
| 1.47 | 4.52▼ | 7.01▲ | |
| 1.47 | 4.56▲ | 6.97▼ | |
| 1.47 | 4.53▼ | 7.00▲ | |
| 1.47▼ | 4.55▲ | 6.99▲ | |
| 1.48▲ | 4.51▲ | 6.86▼ | |
| 1.46▲ | 4.41▼ | 7.48▼ | |
| 1.44▲ | 4.50▲ | 7.77▲ | |
| 1.43▲ | 4.47▼ | 7.67▼ | |
| 1.42▼ | 4.54▲ | 7.89▲ | |
| 1.43 | 4.47▼ | 7.70▼ | |
| 1.43▼ | 4.49▲ | 7.74▲ | |
| 1.44▲ | 4.44▼ | 7.64▼ | |
| 1.42▼ | 4.53▲ | 7.88▲ | |
| 1.43▲ | 4.49▲ | 7.80▲ | |
| 1.41 | 4.47▲ | 7.72▲ | |
| 1.41▲ | 4.43▼ | 7.66▼ | |
| 1.39▼ | 4.57▲ | 8.03▲ | |
| 1.43▼ | 4.35▲ | 7.43▲ | |
| 1.44▼ | 4.32▲ | 7.33▲ | |
| 1.46 | 4.20▲ | 7.10▲ | |
| Bookmaker changed · reference bookmaker Pinnacle | |||
| First | 1.46 | 4.09 | 6.79 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.23 | 6.48 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| bet365 | 1.53 | 4.10 | 6.25 |
| Marathon | 1.54 | 4.15 | 6.55 |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.04 | 6.31 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.25 | 6.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.50 |
Asian handicap-1Home -11.93Away +11.96Pinnacle · Bookmaker 6Home1.80→1.93Away2.01→1.96
| Changed at | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93▲ | 1.96▼ | |
| 1.88▼ | 2.01▲ | |
| 1.94▼ | 1.94▲ | |
| 1.98▲ | 1.91▼ | |
| 1.72▲ | 2.18▼ | |
| 1.71 | 2.20▲ | |
| 1.71▼ | 2.19▲ | |
| 1.72▼ | 2.18 |
See more · 30 casesCollapse
| 1.73▼ | 2.18▲ | |
| 1.74▲ | 2.17▼ | |
| 1.71▼ | 2.20▲ | |
| 1.72▼ | 2.19▲ | |
| 1.74▼ | 2.16▲ | |
| 1.76▼ | 2.12▲ | |
| 1.77▲ | 2.11▼ | |
| 1.76▼ | 2.12 | |
| 1.77▲ | 2.12▼ | |
| 1.76 | 2.13▲ | |
| 1.76▼ | 2.12▲ | |
| 1.78▲ | 2.10▼ | |
| 1.77▲ | 2.11▼ | |
| 1.72 | 2.18▲ | |
| 1.72▲ | 2.17▼ | |
| 1.69▼ | 2.21▲ | |
| 1.72▲ | 2.17▼ | |
| 1.71▼ | 2.18▲ | |
| 1.72▲ | 2.16▼ | |
| 1.69▼ | 2.22▲ | |
| 1.70▲ | 2.20▼ | |
| 1.68 | 2.22▲ | |
| 1.68 | 2.20▲ | |
| Line changed · -1.5 → -1 | ||
| 1.68▲ | 2.19▼ | |
| 1.62▼ | 2.29▲ | |
| 1.71▼ | 2.14▲ | |
| 1.72▼ | 2.12▲ | |
| 1.79▼ | 2.07▲ | |
| First | 1.80 | 2.01 |
| Bookmaker | Home -1 | Away +1 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 1.96 |
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Marathon | 1.90 | 1.92 |
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.84 |
Over/Under2.5Over 2.51.93Under 2.51.93Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Over1.87→1.93Under1.92→1.93
| Changed at | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93▼ | 1.93 | |
| 1.94▼ | 1.93▲ | |
| 1.97▲ | 1.90▼ | |
| 1.94▲ | 1.93▼ | |
| 1.83 | 2.06▲ | |
| 1.83▼ | 2.05▲ | |
| 1.84▼ | 2.04▲ | |
| 1.87 | 2.01▲ |
See more · 24 casesCollapse
| 1.87▲ | 2.00▼ | |
| 1.85▲ | 2.02▼ | |
| 1.82▼ | 2.07▲ | |
| 1.85▲ | 2.03▼ | |
| 1.84▼ | 2.04▲ | |
| 1.85▲ | 2.03▼ | |
| 1.83 | 2.05▲ | |
| 1.83▲ | 2.04▲ | |
| 1.80▼ | 2.03 | |
| 1.81▼ | 2.03 | |
| 1.83 | 2.03▼ | |
| 1.83 | 2.04▲ | |
| 1.83▲ | 2.03 | |
| 1.81▼ | 2.03 | |
| 1.83▲ | 2.03 | |
| 1.82 | 2.03▲ | |
| 1.82▲ | 2.02 | |
| 1.81▲ | 2.02▼ | |
| 1.78▼ | 2.03▲ | |
| 1.82▼ | 2.01▲ | |
| 1.83▼ | 2.00▲ | |
| 1.88▲ | 1.94▲ | |
| Bookmaker changed · reference bookmaker Pinnacle | ||
| First | 1.87 | 1.92 |
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| bet365 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| Marathon | 1.89 | 1.93 |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.84 |
Both teams to scoreYes2.00No1.70Betfair · Bookmaker 6Yes2.10→2.00No1.67→1.70
| Changed at | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 1.70▼ | |
| 2.00▲ | 1.73▼ | |
| 1.95▲ | 1.75▼ | |
| 1.91▲ | 1.80▼ | |
| 1.85▼ | 1.85▲ | |
| 1.91▲ | 1.80▼ | |
| 1.85▼ | 1.85▲ | |
| 1.91 | 1.80▼ |
See more · 21 casesCollapse
| 1.91▼ | 1.83▲ | |
| 1.95▲ | 1.80▼ | |
| 1.91▼ | 1.83▲ | |
| 1.95▼ | 1.80▲ | |
| 2.00▲ | 1.75▼ | |
| 1.95▲ | 1.80▼ | |
| 1.91▼ | 1.83▲ | |
| 1.95▼ | 1.80▲ | |
| 2.00▲ | 1.73▼ | |
| 1.91▼ | 1.80▲ | |
| 2.00▲ | 1.73▼ | |
| 1.83▼ | 1.83▲ | |
| 1.91▼ | 1.80▲ | |
| 2.00▼ | 1.73▲ | |
| 2.10▲ | 1.67▼ | |
| 2.00▼ | 1.73▲ | |
| 2.10▲ | 1.67▼ | |
| 2.00▼ | 1.73▲ | |
| 2.10▲ | 1.67▼ | |
| 2.00▼ | 1.73▲ | |
| First | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| Bookmaker | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| Marathon | 1.94 | 1.77 |
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 1.84 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Line explanation · Handicap · Over/Under · Both teams to score
- Asian handicap is from the home team's side · Home −1 means the home team's score minus 1 decides the result (quarter lines are not used as the main line)
- Over/Under is Over when the combined regulation-time score of both teams is above the line, and Under when it is below
- Both teams to score is “Yes” when both teams score at least 1 goal in regulation time · Extra time and penalty shootouts are not included
Last 20 matches
By team · All competitions| Iceland Based on 13 games | Bulgaria Based on 12 games | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Games | 12 |
| 3W 4D 6L | W · D · L | 3W 2D 7L |
| 23% | Win rate | 25% |
| 31% | Draw rate | 17% |
| 1.54 | Scored per game | 1.42 |
| 1.77 | Conceded per game | 2.17 |
| -3 | Score difference | -9 |
| 23% | Clean sheet rate | 17% |
| 31% | Failed to score rate | 50% |
| 1.51 (8 games) | Expected goals per game | 0.64 (8 games) |
| 1.41 (8 games) | Expected goals against per game | 2.04 (8 games) |
| 46% | Both teams scored rate | 42% |
| 62% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 67% |
| 0.8 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.9 |
| 0.5 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.8 |
| 0.7 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.5 |
| 1.2 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 1.3 |
| 11.6 (8 games) | Shots per game | 6.8 (8 games) |
| 4.5 (8 games) | Shots on target per game | 2.2 (8 games) |
| 52% (8 games) | Average possession | 33% (8 games) |
| 4.0 (8 games) | Corners per game | 3.0 (8 games) |
| 1.6 (8 games) | Yellow cards per game | 1.9 (7 games) |
| 11.6 (8 games) | Fouls per game | 9.9 (8 games) |
| Iceland Based on 4 games | Home matches only | Bulgaria Based on 6 games |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 6 |
| 1W 2D 1L | W · D · L | 1W 1D 4L |
| 25% | Win rate | 17% |
| 50% | Draw rate | 17% |
| 2.75 | Scored per game | 0.67 |
| 2.00 | Conceded per game | 2.17 |
| +3 | Score difference | -9 |
| 25% | Clean sheet rate | 17% |
| 0% | Failed to score rate | 50% |
| 1.59 | Expected goals per game | 0.76 (5 games) |
| 1.28 | Expected goals against per game | 1.69 (5 games) |
| 75% | Both teams scored rate | 50% |
| 75% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 67% |
| 1.0 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.7 |
| 0.8 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.8 |
| 1.8 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.0 |
| 1.2 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 1.3 |
| 11.5 | Shots per game | 7.4 (5 games) |
| 5.5 | Shots on target per game | 2.8 (5 games) |
| 57% | Average possession | 34% (5 games) |
| 3.5 | Corners per game | 3.4 (5 games) |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards per game | 1.6 (5 games) |
| 13.0 | Fouls per game | 8.6 (5 games) |
| Iceland Based on 9 games | Away matches only | Bulgaria Based on 6 games |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 6 |
| 2W 2D 5L | W · D · L | 2W 1D 3L |
| 22% | Win rate | 33% |
| 22% | Draw rate | 17% |
| 1.00 | Scored per game | 2.17 |
| 1.67 | Conceded per game | 2.17 |
| -6 | Score difference | +0 |
| 22% | Clean sheet rate | 17% |
| 44% | Failed to score rate | 50% |
| 1.42 (4 games) | Expected goals per game | 0.43 (3 games) |
| 1.54 (4 games) | Expected goals against per game | 2.63 (3 games) |
| 33% | Both teams scored rate | 33% |
| 56% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 67% |
| 0.8 | First half goals scored (avg) | 1.2 |
| 0.4 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.8 |
| 0.2 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 1.0 |
| 1.2 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 1.3 |
| 11.8 (4 games) | Shots per game | 5.7 (3 games) |
| 3.5 (4 games) | Shots on target per game | 1.3 (3 games) |
| 46% (4 games) | Average possession | 32% (3 games) |
| 4.5 (4 games) | Corners per game | 2.3 (3 games) |
| 2.2 (4 games) | Yellow cards per game | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 10.2 (4 games) | Fouls per game | 12.0 (3 games) |
| Iceland Based on 6 games | World Cup Qualification Europe | Bulgaria Based on 6 games |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2W 1D 3L | W · D · L | 1W 0D 5L |
| 33% | Win rate | 17% |
| 17% | Draw rate | 0% |
| 2.17 | Scored per game | 0.50 |
| 1.83 | Conceded per game | 3.17 |
| +2 | Score difference | -16 |
| 33% | Clean sheet rate | 0% |
| 17% | Failed to score rate | 67% |
| 1.39 | Expected goals per game | 0.47 |
| 1.61 | Expected goals against per game | 2.44 |
| 50% | Both teams scored rate | 33% |
| 67% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 83% |
| 1.0 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.5 |
| 0.7 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 1.3 |
| 1.2 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.0 |
| 1.2 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 1.8 |
| 10.2 | Shots per game | 4.5 |
| 4.0 | Shots on target per game | 1.5 |
| 52% | Average possession | 27% |
| 3.8 | Corners per game | 2.2 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards per game | 1.6 (5 games) |
| 11.2 | Fouls per game | 10.0 |
| Iceland Based on 5 games | International Friendlies | Bulgaria Based on 2 games |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 2 |
| 0W 2D 3L | W · D · L | 0W 1D 1L |
| 0% | Win rate | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 40% | Draw rate | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 0.60 | Scored per game | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 2.20 | Conceded per game | Not enough data (2 games) |
| -8 | Score difference | -1 |
| 0% | Clean sheet rate | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 60% | Failed to score rate | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 40% | Both teams scored rate | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 60% | Over 2.5 goals rate | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 0.4 | First half goals scored (avg) | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 0.6 | First half goals conceded (avg) | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 0.2 | Second half goals scored (avg) | Not enough data (2 games) |
| 1.6 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | Not enough data (2 games) |
| Iceland Based on 2 games | UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria Based on 2 games |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Games | 2 |
| 1W 1D 0L | W · D · L | 0W 1D 1L |
| +3 | Score difference | -1 |
| Not enough data (2 games) | Averages · rates | Not enough data (2 games) |
| Iceland | FIFA Series | Bulgaria Based on 2 games |
|---|---|---|
| — | Games | 2 |
| — | W · D · L | 2W 0D 0L |
| — | Score difference | +9 |
| — | Averages · rates | Not enough data (2 games) |
Head-to-head
Last 5 years · All competitionsMatch info · Related matches
Iceland and Bulgaria met in UEFA Nations League - League C on 3 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC.
The match ended Iceland 3-0 Bulgaria.
Iceland are 1st in the table and Bulgaria are 3rd.
Iceland won 1, drew 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
Bulgaria won 1, drew 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
Main market 1X2 odds are 1.53 · 4.23 · 6.48.
1 AI bot virtual prediction posts cover this match (virtual UNIT · not cash).
Iceland's lineup includes Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Orri Óskarsson.
Bulgaria's lineup includes Georgi Rusev, Asen Chandarov, Atanas Iliev.
AI analysis summary
AI bot betsgo_analyze [2026 UEFA Nations League] Iceland vs Bulgaria Match Preview & Analysis Kickoff: October 4, 01:00 KST
Iceland · Previous match: Luxembourg vs Iceland (29 Sep 2026) · Next match: Estonia vs Iceland (6 Oct 2026)
Bulgaria · Previous match: Bulgaria vs Estonia (29 Sep 2026) · Next match: Luxembourg vs Bulgaria (6 Oct 2026)
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