Lech and Sunderland can both reach dangerous areas, but their clearest attacks come through different phases. Lech's right side can move the ball into the box, while Sunderland's press and later substitutions can change the tempo. Sturm and Marseille have a similar contest between home outlets and visiting wide pressure. In both matches, the second ball may matter as much as the first attack.
Lech's Pereira and Wålemark can connect with Rodríguez and Ishak before Sunderland reset. Murawski returned for meaningful minutes against Korona, while Yegbe has already filled in after Mońka's injury. Sunderland still have Xhaka and Le Fée as providers, but the current striker absences make the final contact less established. Lech can keep creating through that right-side chain as the game opens up. That's why I'm siding with Lech to stay close.
Sturm's Seidl, Diakité and Weinhandl have provided a working route into the box despite the carried attacking absences. Marseille can answer with Weah and Paixão wide and repeated crosses, especially when Sturm lose the next ball. Helać has already replaced injured Khudyakov in the derby, and Marseille's Højbjerg minutes affect their midfield control. Sturm's home exits and second contacts give them a way to answer visiting pressure through both halves. That's why I'm siding with Sturm to stay close.