Getafe's compact aggression meets a Lugano side with several ways to move the ball beyond pressure. Juventus's territory and two-forward plan meet Rennes's compact cover and attempts to release runners outside the wing-backs. Both games should depend on the quality of the first connection into the attack.
Lugano retain Grgić and Bislimi for midfield supply, while Mai's direct pass to Dos Santos offers a way around close pressure. Cimignani's cross to Moncada against Red Star demonstrated another receiving route after Steffen had left the pitch. Steffen's hamstring absence is current and removes a creator, but the remaining connections have already operated.
Lugano changed every European starter for their cup match, preserving much of that core while Getafe completed a demanding match with ten men. Getafe can refresh their forwards, so the contest should begin with pressure and duels before Lugano's different exits and attacking changes become more influential. Those retained routes and the recovery pattern are why I'm siding with Lugano to avoid defeat.
Juventus have repeatedly kept opposing shot volume low and now have an announced intention to pair Woltemade with Kolo Muani. Their available Cambiaso and Alajbegovic have supplied recent successful crosses, while McKennie offers another arrival around the forwards. Rennes's first pass has repeatedly invited pressure, giving those receivers a specific source of short attacks.
Lepaul is out after the ankle problem that followed his Paris FC appearance, bringing Dia into the replacement picture. Juventus's official squad confirms the missing creators, including Zhegrova and Conceicao after their Lazio minutes, while retaining the announced forwards and those alternative suppliers. I expect patient home territory to develop into more pressure on the Rennes exit as the match progresses. That comparison is why I'm siding with Juventus to win.