Thun's assertive home approach meets a Hajduk front unit that has recently turned high recoveries into goals. Freiburg's wide supply and restarts meet Monaco's transition receivers. Both games should reward the team that controls the first pass and the ball after the initial duel.
Hajduk's Šotiček, Bamba and Šego supplied a coordinated press and quick connections against Ajax. Fayad and del Moral retain the midfield base behind those actions. Thun's forward exits were poorly connected at Twente even before the dismissal, and a more aggressive home approach offers a different contest over the space behind their pressure.
Thun's official preview confirms Kristal's suspension alongside the continuing absences of Saiz, Montolio and Seiler. Hajduk's expected starters all played in their latest domestic match, with Fayad completing it and several forwards having partial workloads. I expect the opening to be active, with Hajduk seeking controlled passes after regains and using their wide runners beyond the first pressure. That's why I'm siding with Hajduk to come out ahead, with a level finish covered by the attached selection.
Freiburg's rotated European group has already created through Grifo, Günter, Kübler and Irié. Monaco have recently conceded from crosses and restart sequences, making that supply more relevant than the teams' win totals. The visitors also have a competitive midfield platform for sustaining those attacks.
Lienhart is omitted for workload management after playing at Leverkusen, with Rosenfelder a reported replacement who has recent European experience. Brunner is available to Monaco under the current team news, while Suzuki's suspension was reported as domestic. I expect an active contest over the first pass, followed by repeated Freiburg delivery and second-ball work. Their surviving supply is why I'm siding with Freiburg to avoid defeat.
