Dinamo's short build-up and early crossing meet NEC's individual pressure and willingness to leave defenders in space. Union's direct receivers and second runners face a Beer Sheva central unit being rearranged. In both matches, the first escape from pressure should shape the next chance.
Dinamo can progress through Mišić and deliver toward Beljo, who both scored and supplied against Slaven. NEC can instead turn a pressured first pass into a chance close to goal, as Chery did against Levski. Their starting group also created repeated box attempts against Sittard without Tadić. His absence is confirmed for this trip after his earlier injury and subsequent missed domestic match; Storm and Geiger both started that match and travelled. The available supply on both sides meets recently exposed defensive routes, and I expect the match to keep producing chances as the teams respond to each other. That's why I'm siding with plenty of goals in Dinamo against NEC.
Union's expected core repeats the Sociedad group, which used Biondic and Mofokeng as direct receivers, Olaru around the next ball and Zeneli's deliveries toward Sylla. That gave them several ways into the box while restricting Sociedad's sustained supply. Beer Sheva's recent European attacks reached close range less consistently.
This fixture is in Düsseldorf behind closed doors, so ordinary home support is absent. Union's continuing absences were already present against Sociedad; Rodriguez and Zorgane are reported back in the group as possible later options. Beer Sheva are without Nachmias after his injured departure at AZ and without Ventura, with further central rotation reported. I expect Union's retained connections to keep testing those changing relationships through repeated attacks and restarts. That's why I'm siding with Union to win.
