Both GAIS and Sirius arrive off wins that deserve a second look. GAIS beat Mjällby 3–0 with the teams level on shots, while Sirius beat Örgryte 2–1 despite taking far fewer attempts. In their upcoming meeting, I’ll watch whether GAIS can keep finding the box or whether Sirius can make a smaller share of attacks count again. Those last scores tell us what happened, not how this one must go.
GAIS and Mjällby each took 15 shots; GAIS had nine from inside the box to Mjällby’s eight. In Sirius’s win, Örgryte took 12 shots to Sirius’s five and had seven inside the box to Sirius’s three. Sirius found a way to win that game, but repeating it while allowing the other side so many entries is a much tougher ask than the result alone suggests. Which part of that trade-off do you think changes first?
