Como and Roma have ways to create chances at both ends of the same match. Como can keep feeding the box through Paz and Diao, while Roma can turn high recoveries into direct runs for Malen. On Milano's home floor, Treviso's guard play meets a deeper frontcourt and a contest for extra possessions. The balance in each game turns on how often those attacking routes survive the first defensive response.
Como kept finding close-range chances even when Frosinone disrupted its buildup. Paz's shooting, Diao's final passes and Douvikas's box movement give it several ways past Roma's first press. At the other end, Mancini's high recoveries and Dybala's quick service can release Malen into the space behind Como's advanced fullbacks, with Koné arriving for the next ball.
Kean is out, but Douvikas already started the last Como match and tested the goalkeeper. Gollini takes Svilar's place for Roma, while De Roon is expected to cover Cristante's midfield role. Como can keep sending attacks into the box after a clearance, and Roma can answer through a regain or a run behind the defence. I expect Como and Roma each to find the net.
Milano can use Wright and Burnell inside and has shown how strongly it can rebound at home. Treviso has a different answer: Russell and Cappelletti can share the handling, while Macura provides another scorer on the wing. Against Trento, Treviso kept creating through drives, free throws and forced turnovers despite giving up many second shots.
Croswell's absence has already brought Anigbogu and Chery into Treviso's rotation; both played at Trento. Tonut's status has been reported differently, so the case rests on Treviso's observed guard and centre roles. Milano may build early pressure in the paint, but Treviso's handlers and late Russell creation give it a way to keep answering into the final quarter. That's why I'm siding with Treviso to stay close.
