Norwich should have long spells of territory, but recent home possession has brought few clean finishes. Watford have found much less attacking quality away than in their best home display. Levante and Atlético meet in a more open first-pass contest, where the home pressure and Atlético's wide escape both matter.
At Norwich, the question is whether wide service to Kvistgaarden becomes several separate finishes rather than repeated entries. Watford made little from the ball at Wolves and Bristol City; Norwich's two previous home attacks also failed to score. Watford's listed attacking absences were already reflected in those road games. Norwich's Maghoma left the Charlton match hurt, while Mattsson also came off and McLean returned for a shorter spell, so the supply and finishing roles are unsettled. A narrow score fits the available routes better than a sequence of clean replies. That's why I'm siding with the lower-scoring outcome.
Levante's Brugué and Thiago can disrupt Atlético's first receiver and create a second-ball chance, as their Athletic match showed. Atlético have Alvarez, Grimaldo and later attacking changes, yet their recent league away wins have often been close. Koke and Cardoso remain out after missing the previous match, while Romero's recovery has been reported without settled starting minutes. Levante can make Atlético work through an early press and still produce a reply from wide supply. That's why I'm siding with Levante to keep this match close.
