The six-goal St. Louis game is the eye-catcher, but its scoreless follow-up makes me curious about the chances underneath. Minnesota have just rescued a draw in Colorado and surrendered a late equalizer against Houston, so the way this match changes after a goal matters too. Can St. Louis keep finding good looks when the first burst does not pay off, and can Minnesota respond without leaving the next chance behind them?
In our match records, St. Louis produced 2.61 xG from 11 shots against the Galaxy, then 0.83 xG from eight against Vancouver. Minnesota's Colorado draw included a second-half equalizer recorded as an own goal after Colorado had gone back in front despite a red card; against Houston, Minnesota took the lead and conceded in stoppage time. Those are different routes to the same final score, and none guarantees the next pattern.
