PSG's pressing and repeated box entries meet a Le Havre side that has found attacking supply but struggled to finish defensive clearances. Le Havre can still reach the box through its wide players and second balls. Villarreal's sustained wide attacks meet an Espanyol defence that has recently allowed repeated clean chances. The change on Espanyol's bench and its long cup match add to the importance of how each side responds after the first goal.
Le Havre's route runs through deliveries to Maja and Fofana, whose recent involvement produced real box chances during a chase. PSG can pin the wing backs and create again after an equalizer, but their win over Lyon required late contributions from Godts and Mayulu. The longer-standing PSG absences were already present in that match; Godts played and scored there, then missed training, while his availability and Maja's start remain unconfirmed. Le Havre have had more recovery time, and their attacking route can keep a PSG victory narrow. That's why I'm siding with Le Havre to stay close.
Villarreal can press Espanyol's back line with repeated wide deliveries and renew that supply through Moleiro, Mikautadze, Pepe and Cardona. Espanyol's recent league attacks created little while its defence faced heavy shot volume, and Sergio García has had limited preparation after the cup match. Jofre and Kike García were already absent from Espanyol's recent games; Gueye is newly suspended for Villarreal, while Pepe played and scored in the cup. Villarreal showed at Valencia that it can change its service and respond after conceding. That's why I'm siding with Villarreal to win.
