Las Palmas have had plenty of the ball without consistently making good chances, and their reshuffled midfield now meets a Valladolid side creating sharper openings. The missing players matter most in the spaces between midfield and defense, where Las Palmas have already struggled to protect themselves. Valladolid's recent chance creation gives them a way to make those spaces count. That matchup is the reason for this slip.
Against Burgos, Las Palmas had 63% possession but generated just 0.53 expected goals. Eibar then took 18 shots against them. Iñaki González is suspended, Sergio Ruiz is injured, and further absences across the back line leave Rubén de la Barrera with another reshuffle.
Valladolid's win over Córdoba brought seven shots on target and 2.45 expected goals. They also put six shots on target against Ceuta despite scoring once. Fran Escribá has talked about attacking from the start, and the recent shot quality gives that approach substance against this particular Las Palmas setup.