A game between a home side that barely scores but leaks chances and a promotion chaser whose own defence is far from tight.
Kofu is 20th with 11 goals scored and 28 conceded in 14, and it allows about 17 shots a game. Albirex Niigata is second, but its shots are only level with its opponents', and it concedes around 1.6 a game. Its recent totals ran 5, 3, 3, 6, 2, 3 and 1, and it has scored in each of its last home games.
The main matchup is the Albirex attack against a Kofu back line that has let in 3, 5 and 5 in recent games. Kofu's way to goals is narrow, a counter or a set piece, but one is enough to carry the total. Only one Albirex player is listed as doubtful and no Kofu absences are recorded, so I am not leaning on team news.
I expect Albirex to score once or twice and Kofu to find one chance. That's why I'm on plenty of goals in this match.
