Hoffenheim's forward play can generate repeated entries, and Lyon have runners who can attack the space it leaves. The first defensive possession after an equalizer looks especially important in that match. Bournemouth's press creates a different test for Milan's first pass and wing supply. The balance there depends on whether each team turns recoveries into clean shots rather than raw volume.
Hoffenheim made clear chances through Prass, Conté and Asllani against Gladbach, then responded quickly after an equalizer. Lyon have scored through wide service, midfield arrivals and restarts, while Palace and Nice both reached their box repeatedly. Šulc is newly absent after playing and scoring against Nice, and Openda also missed that game; Nuamah, Nakamura and midfield runners still provide active routes. Hoffenheim's advanced cover and Lyon's vulnerable box make further chances after the first goal credible. That's why I'm siding with goals in Hoffenheim against Lyon.
Bournemouth can press high and feed Evanilson or Tavernier from regained balls, but their latest shot total was helped by a red card against Sturm. Milan's rotated side still made clean chances at Salzburg through Hutchinson, Bartesaghi and Cisse, with Maignan and the replacement defenders recording real minutes. Cisse's recent participation and Milan's wing outlets give them a way through Bournemouth's first wave, while a level match can persist through both teams' home and away patterns. That's why I'm siding with Milan to win or draw.
