Everton–Newcastle could hinge on what happens after Everton finally get the ball into the attacking third. Everton's last two league games produced few chances, while Newcastle's win at Palace came from two quick attacks after a goalless first half. If Everton push more players forward to fix their attack, the space they leave when a move breaks down matters just as much as the next shot. I’ll be watching whether they can sustain pressure without giving Newcastle a clean route out.
Our match record has Everton taking eight shots at Arsenal and six against Chelsea. Newcastle took ten at Palace, but the post-match account traces both goals to moves down the right after the break. Those were different opponents and this is a cup tie, so I’d treat the pattern as a question for this matchup rather than a promise of the same result.
