Estudiantes’ recent results hide a side that has been making chances. Racing arrive with a new coach and a planned return to a back four after an away run in which they have allowed openings. That combination points to a livelier contest than their meeting in March. My judgement turns on how Estudiantes’ home pressure meets Racing’s reshaped midfield and back line.
Estudiantes lost to Belgrano and Instituto, but still had 16 and 11 shots in those games. Forestello has kept faith with his side’s approach, and local reporting describes a high press at the Candini. The losing streak alone misses the pressure they have been able to create.
Racing’s defeat at Independiente Rivadavia came with nine shots on target allowed. Sebastián Romero’s projected setup places Gastón Lodico behind a front three of Lautaro Díaz, Adrián Martínez and Tomás Conechny. Their earlier meeting was at Racing’s ground under a different coach, and Estudiantes held it level until the second half.
