Monaco's escape from Freiburg's pressure will determine the first clean box entry in their match. Freiburg's wide deliveries and restarts give them a way to answer even after a strong Monaco spell. Midtjylland can find an early direct opening against St. Truiden, but the later test is whether their attack can keep producing while stopping the visitor's own receivers. In both fixtures, the second attacking phase matters as much as the first.
Brunner is eligible for Monaco and can run onto passes from Golovin or Diop. Freiburg are without Lienhart, yet their wide supply has worked across changing lineups, including at Leverkusen, and Grifo or Goto can add later service. Monaco's recent possession has produced modest chance quality and opposing replies after leads. I'm siding with Freiburg to match Monaco's attacking spells and earn at least a share of the result.
Midtjylland's Kristensen and Billing can release Cho or another forward quickly from a stable back three. St. Truiden's core had more rest after cup rotation, and Baždar with Vanwesemael offers a wide-to-far-post reply; the side also showed it could respond after falling behind. Its heavy Mechelen concession included two own goals rather than four repeatedly created finishes. I'm siding with St. Truiden to keep the margin tight through its own supply and later receivers.