Daejeon–Gwangju has an odd little tension: neither side needed to dominate possession to create danger in its latest recorded match. Daejeon made the better chances with much less of the ball against Shanghai Port; Gwangju traded chances with Ulsan in a seven-goal game. That makes the first pass after a turnover worth watching here, especially if one team pushes forward and the other has space to run into. It could still be a completely different game if either side slows that exchange down.
Our match records put Daejeon at 37% possession but 0.93 xG to Shanghai Port's 0.36 in their draw. Gwangju had 46% possession and 2.30 xG to Ulsan's 2.35 in a 4–3 win. Those are snapshots of different opponents, so I'd treat the turnover question as a way to watch the match, not a prediction.
