These two games turn on details the recent scorelines hide. Tenerife's press fits a Córdoba side that keeps giving up good chances. Romania's heavy defeat came after a red card, and Sweden bring a changed squad to Bucharest. Those matchups are what draw me to this slip.
Córdoba took 16 shots at Valladolid but allowed seven on target and 2.45 expected goals. Iván Ania has described Tenerife's two forwards, wide play and high press, while Córdoba have confirmed Yussi Diarra's hamstring injury. Tenerife also produced competitive chances in their draw with Cádiz and win over Leganés, which says more about this matchup than their loss to Castellón alone.
Romania had attacking openings before an early dismissal against Poland turned that match sharply against them. In the previous meeting with Sweden, Rațiu and Man combined down the right for Romania's goal. Sweden's federation has since confirmed Ayari and Starfelt unavailable, and Isak is absent from UEFA's current squad list. That earlier meeting was won with a different mix of creators and defenders.
