Celtic's pressure and varied deliveries meet a Celta side whose recent results have been stronger than its chance volume. The visitors have a useful exit through midfield carries and wide runs, while Celtic can create from recoveries, open play and restarts. The match should be shaped by whether those Celtic entries keep reaching different receivers after the first attack.
Baur and McGregor can start the supply, with Tierney, Nygren and Durán offering different contacts around the box. Celtic's attack against Hearts had several origins, and the later cross and finish against Benfica showed another route after halftime. Celta's Alavés win came with only six shots and needed repeated Radu saves; its previous away chance production was also thin.
Celtic's confirmed absences of Trusty, Carter-Vickers and Johnston change the defensive cover, while Starfelt's absence changes Celta's back three. Rodríguez and Hugo Álvarez can still carry the ball toward Jutglà, but Celtic have the fuller set of first and second deliveries. That's why I'm siding with Celtic to take the stronger result in this match.