Two games where the home side's defensive shape looks shakier than the table suggests. Both visitors should control the ball, and the question is whether the home sides can hold on, which depends on goalkeepers and midfield cover that are thin or unsettled.
Torino against Como: Torino concede around fifteen shots a game, their first-choice goalkeeper is out, and a centre-back and key midfielders are missing or doubtful. Como lost their two first-choice strikers, but they still scored twice against Sassuolo and four against Manchester United with those absences already in place, so the depth has been tested. They will hold the ball and Torino will defend deeper. That's why I'm siding with Como to win away.
Bradford against Peterborough: Bradford have conceded only three in their last ten and beat this opponent two-nil at Valley Parade twice. Peterborough keep the ball and create volume, but they give up a lot of shots on target and were beaten heavily just days ago, leaving space behind a high line for Bradford counters and set pieces. That's why I'm siding with Bradford to win.
