Bournemouth's home press can make Villa defend its first pass before the visitors settle. Villa's direct outlets and later substitutions can still change the rhythm. Monza and Napoli present another first-pass contest, with Napoli's wide service meeting Monza's quick regains. The second action after either side reaches the box is central to both games.
Bournemouth can force a set piece or a short-field attack through Cook and the wide runners, then use later forward changes to improve the finish. Villa's City win came from two shots on target and opponent errors while Villa allowed substantial chances; their likely cup changes reshape the same defensive and forward links. Scott and Tóth missed Bournemouth's latest match, with Adams, Cook and Christie already covering midfield. The stronger home pressure and established cover are why I'm siding with Bournemouth to prevail.
Napoli can reach Politano on the right and McTominay on second balls, but Monza have shown a quick regain into Varela and the next runner. Napoli have given opponents a response after dominating territory, and their current defensive absences include Badiashile, who left the Roma game. Monza's Folorunsho came off the bench against Torino before his latest absence listing, while Varela and the pressing unit remain. That direct answer to Napoli's buildup is why I'm siding with Monza to stay close.