Two matches where the structure points to goals at both ends. In one, a high-volume visitor meets a home side that has yet to score in its group, but both desperately need points. In the other, two leaky Bundesliga sides meet in a cup tie with patched squads.
Al Seeb against East Bengal: East Bengal take plenty of shots and have scored and conceded in all three of their continental games so far. Al Seeb sit in a block and look for set pieces and counters through their lone striker, with a penalty taker on the pitch. Neither side can afford to sit on a draw, so an early East Bengal goal should force Al Seeb to open up. That's why I expect both teams to find the net here.
FC Koln against Union Berlin: over their last ten, each side's matches average around three and a third expected goals, and both concede close to two a game. Koln are without three forwards and a holding midfielder, Union without three defenders, so both attacks and both back lines are patched. The cup setting may bring rotation, but the chance numbers say this is an open game. That's why I'm on plenty of goals in Cologne.
