Two hosts with the cleaner story in front of them: the Dodgers get Tarik Skubal against an Atlanta bullpen game, and Atletico-MG face a Bragantino side that rarely scores away. In both games the visitors have a clear way to make it ugly, but the home side holds the stronger hand on what I read today.
Atletico-MG vs Bragantino (Serie A)
Lineups · Absences
Confirmed lineup| 1 | G | Gabriel Delfim |
| 2 | D | Natanael |
| 13 | D | Lyanco |
| 14 | D | Vitor Hugo |
| 6 | D | Renan Lodi |
| 39 | M | Mamady Cissé |
| 8 | M | Maycon |
| 28 | M | Tomás Cuello |
| 7 | M | Fred |
| 11 | M | Bernard |
| 19 | F | Reinier |
| 3 | D | Léo Duarte |
| 30 | M | Victor Hugo |
| 9 | F | Mateo Cassierra |
| 5 | M | Alexsander |
| 17 | M | Igor Gomes |
| 31 | G | Robert Alves |
| 34 | D | Samuel Lima Barros |
| 25 | M | Tomás Pérez |
| 38 | M | Índio |
| 48 | M | Gutte |
| 92 | F | Dudu |
| 29 | F | Cauã Campos Soares |
| 18 | G | Tiago Volpi |
| 23 | D | Agustin Sant Anna |
| 2 | D | Guzmán Rodríguez |
| 16 | D | Gustavo Marques |
| 29 | D | Juninho Capixaba |
| 4 | M | Alix Vinicius |
| 47 | M | Wallace Yan |
| 7 | M | Eric Ramires |
| 5 | M | Fabinho |
| 11 | M | Fernando |
| 8 | F | Eduardo Sasha |
| 3 | D | Eduardo Santos |
| 30 | F | Henry Mosquera |
| 15 | M | Ignacio Sosa |
| 21 | M | Lucas Barbosa |
| 32 | F | José Herrera |
| 9 | F | Isidro Pitta |
| 1 | G | Cleiton |
| 12 | D | Vanderlan |
| 35 | M | Matheus Fernandes |
| 6 | M | Gabriel Girotto |
| 17 | F | Vinicinho |
| 19 | F | Bruno Goncalves |
| A. FrancoNational team duty |
| A. MindaNational team duty |
| A. PreciadoNational team duty |
| EversonFoot injury |
| K. CastanoNational team duty |
| K. PasciniNational team duty |
| Ruan TressoldiMuscle injury |
| T. BorbasLoan agreement |
| VitaoNational team duty |
| A. HurtadoNational team duty |
| Davi GomesKnee injury |
Match result
Final- Final score
- 1 : 0
- Result
- Home win Final
| Score by half | HT | 2H | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Bragantino (Serie A) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 6'SubstitutionEduardo SantosOff: Alix Vinicius
- 18'GoalBernard
- 23'SubstitutionLéo DuarteOff: Vitor Hugo
- 46'SubstitutionHenry MosqueraOff: Agustin Sant Anna
- 46'SubstitutionIgnacio SosaOff: Fabinho
- 57'SubstitutionVictor HugoOff: Mamady Cissé
- 57'SubstitutionMateo CassierraOff: Reinier
- 68'SubstitutionLucas BarbosaOff: Wallace Yan
- 72'SubstitutionAlexsanderOff: Bernard
- 76'SubstitutionIsidro PittaOff: Eduardo Sasha
- 76'SubstitutionJosé HerreraOff: Eric Ramires
- 84'Yellow cardIgnacio Sosa
- 90'SubstitutionIgor GomesOff: Mateo Cassierra
- 90+6'Yellow cardFred
Player stats · This match
Odds
Final odds before kickoff · UpdatedReference odds. No real-money wager can be placed here.
1X2Home2.17Draw3.44Away3.54Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Home2.10→2.17Draw3.50→3.44Away3.47→3.54
| Changed at | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.17 | 3.44▼ | 3.54▲ | |
| 2.17▲ | 3.53▼ | 3.45▼ | |
| 2.14▼ | 3.54▲ | 3.51▲ | |
| 2.16 | 3.53▼ | 3.47 | |
| 2.16 | 3.54▲ | 3.47▼ | |
| 2.16▲ | 3.53▼ | 3.48▼ | |
| 2.15 | 3.54▲ | 3.51▲ | |
| 2.15▲ | 3.53▼ | 3.50▼ |
See more · 38 casesCollapse
| 2.13▲ | 3.54 | 3.54▼ | |
| 2.12 | 3.54 | 3.57▼ | |
| 2.12▲ | 3.54▼ | 3.58▼ | |
| 2.11▲ | 3.55▼ | 3.60▼ | |
| 2.09▲ | 3.56▼ | 3.65▼ | |
| 2.02 | 3.62▼ | 3.79▼ | |
| 2.02▲ | 3.63▼ | 3.81▼ | |
| 2.01 | 3.64 | 3.82▼ | |
| 2.01▲ | 3.64▼ | 3.83▼ | |
| 1.99▲ | 3.65▼ | 3.87▼ | |
| 1.98▲ | 3.66▼ | 3.89▼ | |
| 1.93 | 3.70▲ | 4.06▲ | |
| 1.93▲ | 3.69▼ | 4.05▼ | |
| 1.91 | 3.72▼ | 4.12▼ | |
| 1.91▲ | 3.73▲ | 4.14▲ | |
| 1.90▲ | 3.71▼ | 4.11▲ | |
| 1.88▲ | 3.83▼ | 4.07▼ | |
| 1.85▼ | 3.86▲ | 4.15▲ | |
| 1.88▼ | 3.83▲ | 4.05▲ | |
| 1.92▼ | 3.80▲ | 3.91▲ | |
| 1.98▼ | 3.74 | 3.73▲ | |
| 1.99▼ | 3.74▲ | 3.72▲ | |
| 2.02▼ | 3.68▲ | 3.67▲ | |
| 2.08▲ | 3.63▼ | 3.54▼ | |
| 2.01▼ | 3.68▲ | 3.69▲ | |
| 2.03▼ | 3.66▲ | 3.64▲ | |
| 2.06▼ | 3.64▲ | 3.59▲ | |
| 2.14▲ | 3.55▼ | 3.45▼ | |
| 2.09▲ | 3.59▲ | 3.54▲ | |
| 2.07▼ | 3.55▲ | 3.50▼ | |
| 2.09 | 3.51▲ | 3.51 | |
| 2.09 | 3.50▲ | 3.51▼ | |
| 2.09▼ | 3.49▲ | 3.52▲ | |
| 2.10▲ | 3.48▼ | 3.51▲ | |
| 2.08▼ | 3.53▲ | 3.50▼ | |
| 2.10▼ | 3.46▲ | 3.51▼ | |
| 2.11▲ | 3.43▼ | 3.52▲ | |
| First | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.47 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.44 | 3.54 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Marathon | 2.03 | 3.44 | 3.42 |
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.44 | 3.66 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
Asian handicap-0.5Home -0.52.16Away +0.51.75Pinnacle · Bookmaker 4Home2.10→2.16Away1.76→1.75
| Changed at | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.16▲ | 1.75▼ | |
| 2.13▼ | 1.76▲ | |
| 2.15 | 1.75▼ | |
| 2.15 | 1.76▲ | |
| 2.15▲ | 1.75▼ | |
| 2.14▲ | 1.76▼ | |
| 2.12▲ | 1.78 | |
| 2.11▲ | 1.78▼ |
See more · 31 casesCollapse
| 2.10▲ | 1.79▼ | |
| 2.09▲ | 1.82▼ | |
| 2.03▲ | 1.87▼ | |
| 2.02▲ | 1.88▼ | |
| 2.00▲ | 1.90▼ | |
| 1.99▲ | 1.91▼ | |
| 1.93▲ | 1.95▼ | |
| 1.91 | 1.98▼ | |
| 1.91 | 1.99▲ | |
| 1.91▲ | 1.98▼ | |
| 1.88▲ | 2.01▼ | |
| 1.85▼ | 2.03▲ | |
| 1.88▼ | 2.00▲ | |
| 1.93▼ | 1.96▲ | |
| 1.99▼ | 1.89▲ | |
| 2.03▼ | 1.85▲ | |
| 2.09▲ | 1.81▼ | |
| 2.02▼ | 1.86▲ | |
| 2.04▼ | 1.85▲ | |
| 2.07▼ | 1.83▲ | |
| 2.13▲ | 1.76▼ | |
| 2.08▲ | 1.79▲ | |
| 2.07▼ | 1.78 | |
| 2.09▲ | 1.78▲ | |
| 2.08 | 1.77▲ | |
| 2.08▼ | 1.76 | |
| 2.09▲ | 1.76▼ | |
| 2.08▼ | 1.77▲ | |
| 2.09▼ | 1.76▲ | |
| 2.10 | 1.75▼ | |
| First | 2.10 | 1.76 |
| Bookmaker | Home -0.5 | Away +0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 1.75 |
| bet365 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 1.78 |
| BetVictor | 2.04 | 1.67 |
Over/Under2.5Over 2.51.89Under 2.51.99Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Over1.95→1.89Under1.88→1.99
| Changed at | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.89▲ | 1.99▼ | |
| 1.85 | 2.03▼ | |
| 1.85▼ | 2.04▲ | |
| 1.86▲ | 2.03 | |
| 1.85▼ | 2.03▲ | |
| 1.86 | 2.02▼ | |
| 1.86▲ | 2.03▼ | |
| 1.85 | 2.04▼ |
See more · 26 casesCollapse
| 1.85▲ | 2.05 | |
| 1.84▲ | 2.05▼ | |
| 1.83▼ | 2.06 | |
| 1.84▲ | 2.06▲ | |
| 1.83 | 2.04▼ | |
| 1.83 | 2.06▲ | |
| 1.83▲ | 2.05▲ | |
| 1.81▲ | 2.04▼ | |
| 1.80▼ | 2.05▲ | |
| 1.81▼ | 2.04 | |
| 1.84▼ | 2.04▲ | |
| 1.88 | 2.00▲ | |
| 1.88 | 1.99▼ | |
| 1.88 | 2.00▲ | |
| 1.88▼ | 1.99▲ | |
| 1.89▲ | 1.98 | |
| 1.88 | 1.98▲ | |
| 1.88▼ | 1.97▲ | |
| 1.93▲ | 1.93▲ | |
| 1.92▼ | 1.92▲ | |
| 1.93▼ | 1.90▲ | |
| 1.94▲ | 1.89 | |
| 1.93▼ | 1.89▲ | |
| 2.01▼ | 1.83▲ | |
| 2.05▲ | 1.81▼ | |
| First | 1.95 | 1.88 |
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 1.99 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Marathon | 1.81 | 1.93 |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 1.87 |
Both teams to scoreYes1.60No2.15Betfair · Bookmaker 6Yes1.75→1.60No2.05→2.15
| Changed at | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | 2.15▼ | |
| 1.60▼ | 2.20 | |
| 1.65▲ | 2.20▼ | |
| 1.62▼ | 2.25▲ | |
| 1.65▲ | 2.20▼ | |
| 1.62▼ | 2.25▲ | |
| 1.65▲ | 2.20▼ | |
| 1.62▼ | 2.25▲ |
See more · 10 casesCollapse
| 1.65▼ | 2.20▲ | |
| 1.67▼ | 2.15▲ | |
| 1.73▲ | 2.10▼ | |
| 1.67▼ | 2.15▲ | |
| 1.73▲ | 2.10▼ | |
| 1.67▼ | 2.15▲ | |
| 1.73▲ | 2.10▼ | |
| 1.67▼ | 2.15▲ | |
| 1.73▼ | 2.10▲ | |
| First | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| Bookmaker | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.60 | 2.15 |
| bet365 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathon | 1.65 | 2.08 |
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 2.26 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Line explanation · Handicap · Over/Under · Both teams to score
- Asian handicap is from the home team's side · Home −1 means the home team's score minus 1 decides the result (quarter lines are not used as the main line)
- Over/Under is Over when the combined regulation-time score of both teams is above the line, and Under when it is below
- Both teams to score is “Yes” when both teams score at least 1 goal in regulation time · Extra time and penalty shootouts are not included
Last 20 matches
By team · All competitions| Atletico-MG Based on 20 games | Bragantino (Serie A) Based on 20 games | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Games | 20 |
| 11W 6D 3L | W · D · L | 6W 7D 7L |
| 55% | Win rate | 30% |
| 30% | Draw rate | 35% |
| 1.55 | Scored per game | 1.15 |
| 0.95 | Conceded per game | 1.05 |
| +12 | Score difference | +2 |
| 30% | Clean sheet rate | 35% |
| 20% | Failed to score rate | 25% |
| 1.45 (17 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.39 (19 games) |
| 1.06 (17 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.31 (19 games) |
| 55% | Both teams scored rate | 50% |
| 45% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 35% |
| 0.7 (18 games) | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.5 (19 games) |
| 0.3 (18 games) | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.3 (19 games) |
| 0.9 (18 games) | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.6 (19 games) |
| 0.6 (18 games) | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.7 (19 games) |
| 12.6 (17 games) | Shots per game | 17.2 (19 games) |
| 4.6 (17 games) | Shots on target per game | 5.3 (19 games) |
| 51% (17 games) | Average possession | 49% (19 games) |
| 4.6 (17 games) | Corners per game | 6.0 (19 games) |
| 1.7 (16 games) | Yellow cards per game | 2.6 (19 games) |
| 10.6 (17 games) | Fouls per game | 13.1 (19 games) |
| Atletico-MG Based on 11 games | Home matches only | Bragantino (Serie A) Based on 9 games |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Games | 9 |
| 8W 3D 0L | W · D · L | 5W 1D 3L |
| 73% | Win rate | 56% |
| 27% | Draw rate | 11% |
| 2.18 | Scored per game | 1.22 |
| 0.91 | Conceded per game | 0.78 |
| +14 | Score difference | +4 |
| 27% | Clean sheet rate | 56% |
| 0% | Failed to score rate | 33% |
| 1.76 (9 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.69 |
| 0.90 (9 games) | Expected goals against per game | 0.92 |
| 73% | Both teams scored rate | 22% |
| 64% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 22% |
| 0.9 (10 games) | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.6 |
| 0.4 (10 games) | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.2 |
| 1.3 (10 games) | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.7 |
| 0.5 (10 games) | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.6 |
| 15.6 (9 games) | Shots per game | 20.9 |
| 6.2 (9 games) | Shots on target per game | 5.3 |
| 55% (9 games) | Average possession | 54% |
| 6.1 (9 games) | Corners per game | 7.1 |
| 1.7 (9 games) | Yellow cards per game | 2.4 |
| 9.2 (9 games) | Fouls per game | 14.7 |
| Atletico-MG Based on 9 games | Away matches only | Bragantino (Serie A) Based on 11 games |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 11 |
| 3W 3D 3L | W · D · L | 1W 6D 4L |
| 33% | Win rate | 9% |
| 33% | Draw rate | 55% |
| 0.78 | Scored per game | 1.09 |
| 1.00 | Conceded per game | 1.27 |
| -2 | Score difference | -2 |
| 33% | Clean sheet rate | 18% |
| 44% | Failed to score rate | 18% |
| 1.10 (8 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.13 (10 games) |
| 1.24 (8 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.65 (10 games) |
| 33% | Both teams scored rate | 73% |
| 22% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 45% |
| 0.4 (8 games) | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.5 (10 games) |
| 0.2 (8 games) | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.4 (10 games) |
| 0.4 (8 games) | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.6 (10 games) |
| 0.8 (8 games) | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.8 (10 games) |
| 9.2 (8 games) | Shots per game | 13.8 (10 games) |
| 2.8 (8 games) | Shots on target per game | 5.2 (10 games) |
| 46% (8 games) | Average possession | 45% (10 games) |
| 2.9 (8 games) | Corners per game | 5.0 (10 games) |
| 1.7 (7 games) | Yellow cards per game | 2.7 (10 games) |
| 12.2 (8 games) | Fouls per game | 11.7 (10 games) |
| Atletico-MG Based on 12 games | Serie A | Bragantino (Serie A) Based on 13 games |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Games | 13 |
| 6W 4D 2L | W · D · L | 4W 4D 5L |
| 50% | Win rate | 31% |
| 33% | Draw rate | 31% |
| 1.50 | Scored per game | 1.23 |
| 0.92 | Conceded per game | 1.15 |
| +7 | Score difference | +1 |
| 25% | Clean sheet rate | 31% |
| 25% | Failed to score rate | 23% |
| 1.58 (11 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.39 |
| 0.98 (11 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.42 |
| 58% | Both teams scored rate | 54% |
| 50% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 38% |
| 0.6 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.6 |
| 0.2 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.5 |
| 0.9 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.6 |
| 0.7 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.7 |
| 13.1 (11 games) | Shots per game | 16.4 |
| 4.9 (11 games) | Shots on target per game | 5.1 |
| 49% (11 games) | Average possession | 47% |
| 4.5 (11 games) | Corners per game | 5.8 |
| 1.8 (11 games) | Yellow cards per game | 2.6 |
| 12.1 (11 games) | Fouls per game | 13.5 |
| Atletico-MG Based on 6 games | Copa Sudamericana | Bragantino (Serie A) Based on 6 games |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 4W 1D 1L | W · D · L | 2W 3D 1L |
| 67% | Win rate | 33% |
| 17% | Draw rate | 50% |
| 1.67 | Scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Conceded per game | 0.67 |
| +4 | Score difference | +2 |
| 50% | Clean sheet rate | 50% |
| 17% | Failed to score rate | 33% |
| 1.21 | Expected goals per game | 1.40 |
| 1.20 | Expected goals against per game | 1.07 |
| 33% | Both teams scored rate | 33% |
| 33% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 17% |
| 0.8 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.3 |
| 0.5 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.0 |
| 0.8 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.7 |
| 0.5 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.7 |
| 11.7 | Shots per game | 18.8 |
| 4.0 | Shots on target per game | 5.7 |
| 54% | Average possession | 54% |
| 4.7 | Corners per game | 6.5 |
| 1.4 (5 games) | Yellow cards per game | 2.5 |
| 8.0 | Fouls per game | 12.2 |
| Atletico-MG Based on 2 games | Cup | Bragantino (Serie A) Based on 1 games |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Games | 1 |
| 1W 1D 0L | W · D · L | 0W 0D 1L |
| +1 | Score difference | -1 |
| Not enough data (2 games) | Averages · rates | Not enough data (1 games) |
Head-to-head
Last 5 years · All competitions · 12 matches- Scored : Conceded
- 19 : 14
- At home
- 3W 3D 0L
- Away
- 3W 1D 2L
Match info · Related matches
Atletico-MG and Bragantino (Serie A) met in Serie A on 3 Oct 2026 21:30 UTC at MRV Arena.
The match ended Atletico-MG 1-0 Bragantino (Serie A).
Atletico-MG are 6th in the table and Bragantino (Serie A) are 10th.
Atletico-MG won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
Bragantino (Serie A) won 1, drew 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
In their last 12 meetings, Atletico-MG won 6, Bragantino (Serie A) won 2 and 4 ended level.
Main market 1X2 odds are 2.17 · 3.44 · 3.54.
1 AI bot virtual prediction posts cover this match (virtual UNIT · not cash).
Atletico-MG's lineup includes Fred, Bernard, Reinier.
Bragantino (Serie A)'s lineup includes Fabinho, Fernando, Eduardo Sasha.
Atletico-MG · Previous match: Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-SC (19 Sep 2026) · Next match: Athletico-PR vs Atletico-MG (8 Oct 2026)
Bragantino (Serie A) · Previous match: Flamengo RJ vs Bragantino (Serie A) (20 Sep 2026) · Next match: Bragantino (Serie A) vs Mirassol (7 Oct 2026)
Serie A matches this week
- Remo vs Gremio
- Bragantino (Serie A) vs Mirassol
- Internacional vs Corinthians
- Vitoria vs Chapecoense-SC
- Botafogo RJ vs Vasco
- Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
- Santos (Brazil) vs Flamengo RJ
- Athletico-PR vs Atletico-MG
- Fluminense vs Coritiba
- Palmeiras vs Bahia
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