[2026–27 Dutch Eredivisie] AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview and analysis Kick-off: 4:00 am on 11 October (Korea time)
Ajax vs Nijmegen
Johan Cruijff Arena
AjaxHome1 : 1Final score
NijmegenAwayFull time · Draw
1X2 Final odds before kickoff Featured bookmaker ·
Result Confirmed · odds are for reference
Lineups · Absences
Confirmed lineupConfirmed lineup Formation 4-3-3 · Starters 11 · Bench 12
| 1 | G | Marc-André Ter Stegen |
| 2 | D | Lucas Rosa |
| 6 | D | Thilo Kehrer |
| 15 | D | Youri Baas |
| 5 | D | Owen Wijndal |
| 24 | M | Jorthy Mokio |
| 4 | M | Sofyan Amrabat |
| 8 | M | Julian Brandt |
| 11 | F | Viktor Tsygankov |
| 99 | F | Tolu Arokodare |
| 10 | F | Oscar Gloukh |
Bench 12
| 68 | M | Abdellah Ouazane |
| 7 | F | Simon Adingra |
| 30 | D | Aaron Bouwman |
| 38 | F | Marcos Leonardo |
| 18 | M | Davy Klaassen |
| 51 | G | Charlie Setford |
| 26 | G | Maarten Paes |
| 21 | D | Jofre Torrents |
| 36 | D | Dies Janse |
| 28 | M | Yves Bissouma |
| 43 | F | Rayane Bounida |
| 20 | F | Oliver Valaker Edvardsen |
Coach Michel
Confirmed lineup Formation 3-4-2-1 · Starters 11 · Bench 11
| 1 | G | Gonzalo Crettaz |
| 73 | D | Gabriel Brás |
| 4 | D | Perr Schuurs |
| 24 | D | Deveron Fonville |
| 21 | M | Tobias Storm |
| 6 | M | Darko Nejašmić |
| 20 | M | Noé Lebreton |
| 34 | M | Kevin Kers |
| 9 | F | Tjaronn Chery |
| 10 | F | Dušan Tadić |
| 30 | F | Bryan Linssen |
Bench 11
| 22 | D | Ahmetcan Kaplan |
| 5 | D | Mitchel Bakker |
| 11 | M | Willum Thor Willumsson |
| 35 | M | Jamiro Monteiro |
| 12 | G | Nikolas Polster |
| 36 | G | Freek Entius |
| 42 | D | Yassin Moslih |
| 66 | D | Almugera Kabar |
| 19 | F | Adam Tahaui |
| 99 | F | Clement Bischoff |
| 8 | M | Isak Hansen Aarøen |
Coach Dick Schreuder
Confirmed out · Doubtful
AjaxOut 3 · Doubtful 0 · Not a confirmed out
| Caio HenriqueInjury |
| D. BlindBack injury |
| K. DolbergKnee injury |
NijmegenOut 2 · Doubtful 0 · Not a confirmed out
| B. NuytinckAnkle injury |
| E. MorGroin injury |
As of Oct 11 00:01
Match result
Final- Final score
- 1 : 1
- Result
- Draw Final
| Score by half | HT | 2H | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Timeline Goals · Cards · Substitutions
- 7'GoalTolu ArokodareAssist: Jorthy Mokio
- 17'Yellow cardJorthy Mokio
- 19'Penalty goalTjaronn Chery
- 33'Yellow cardBryan Linssen
- 54'Yellow cardGabriel Brás
- 60'SubstitutionSimon AdingraOff: Viktor Tsygankov
- 60'SubstitutionAbdellah OuazaneOff: Oscar Gloukh
- 67'Yellow cardAbdellah Ouazane
- 72'SubstitutionAhmetcan KaplanOff: Perr Schuurs
- 73'SubstitutionAaron BouwmanOff: Lucas Rosa
- 73'SubstitutionMarcos LeonardoOff: Tolu Arokodare
- 73'SubstitutionMitchel BakkerOff: Bryan Linssen
- 80'SubstitutionDavy KlaassenOff: Owen Wijndal
- 82'SubstitutionWillum Thor WillumssonOff: Tjaronn Chery
- 82'SubstitutionJamiro MonteiroOff: Kevin Kers
Team stats · Final
61Possession39
1.78Expected goals (xG)1.05
18Shots8
5Shots on target2
4Corners4
8Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
480Passes301
1Saves4
Player stats · This match
Final
Final
As of Oct 11 00:01
Odds
Final odds before kickoff · UpdatedReference odds. No real-money wager can be placed here.
1X2Home1.33Draw6.21Away7.70Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Home1.32→1.33Draw5.96→6.21Away7.35→7.70
Odds flowReference Pinnacle · Through the last odds before kickoff
| Changed at | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.33▲ | 6.21▼ | 7.70▼ | |
| 1.32▲ | 6.26▼ | 7.74▲ | |
| 1.31▼ | 6.57▲ | 7.60▲ | |
| 1.32 | 6.52▲ | 7.52▲ | |
| 1.32▼ | 6.48▲ | 7.49▲ | |
| 1.33 | 6.29▲ | 7.48▲ | |
| 1.33 | 6.28▲ | 7.44▲ | |
| 1.33 | 6.26▼ | 7.42▲ |
See more · 28 casesCollapse
| 1.33 | 6.28▼ | 7.35▼ | |
| 1.33▼ | 6.29▲ | 7.37▲ | |
| 1.34 | 6.22 | 7.29▲ | |
| 1.34 | 6.22▼ | 7.28▼ | |
| 1.34▲ | 6.26▼ | 7.31▼ | |
| 1.33▼ | 6.28▲ | 7.35▲ | |
| 1.34 | 6.25▼ | 7.26▼ | |
| 1.34 | 6.26▲ | 7.27▼ | |
| 1.34▼ | 6.16▲ | 7.30▲ | |
| 1.35 | 6.11▲ | 7.24▲ | |
| 1.35 | 6.05▲ | 7.17▲ | |
| 1.35▼ | 6.04▲ | 7.16▲ | |
| 1.36▼ | 6.00▲ | 7.04▲ | |
| 1.37▲ | 5.94▼ | 6.78▼ | |
| 1.36 | 5.99▼ | 6.95▼ | |
| 1.36▲ | 6.06▲ | 7.00▲ | |
| 1.35▲ | 5.96▼ | 6.95▼ | |
| 1.34▲ | 6.04▼ | 7.20▼ | |
| 1.32▲ | 6.15▼ | 7.52▼ | |
| 1.31 | 6.22▼ | 7.82▼ | |
| 1.31 | 6.23▲ | 7.83▲ | |
| 1.31▼ | 6.21▲ | 7.80▲ | |
| 1.32 | 6.10▲ | 7.54▲ | |
| 1.32 | 5.98▲ | 7.35▲ | |
| 1.32 | 5.96▼ | 7.33▼ | |
| 1.32▲ | 5.97▼ | 7.34▼ | |
| 1.31▼ | 6.01▲ | 7.39▲ | |
| First | 1.32 | 5.96 | 7.35 |
Odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.33 | 6.21 | 7.70 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| bet365 | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Marathon | 1.28 | 5.80 | 8.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 6.15 | 8.45 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 6.20 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
Asian handicap-1.5Home -1.51.83Away +1.52.05Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Home1.82→1.83Away2.03→2.05
Odds flowReference Pinnacle · Line -1.5 · Through the last odds before kickoff
| Changed at | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83▲ | 2.05▼ | |
| 1.82▲ | 2.06▼ | |
| 1.78▼ | 2.12▲ | |
| 1.79▼ | 2.10▲ | |
| 1.81▼ | 2.08▲ | |
| 1.83 | 2.04▼ | |
| 1.83▼ | 2.05▲ | |
| 1.85▲ | 2.04▼ |
See more · 21 casesCollapse
| 1.83 | 2.05▼ | |
| 1.83 | 2.06▲ | |
| 1.83▼ | 2.05▲ | |
| 1.85▼ | 2.04▲ | |
| 1.86▼ | 2.03▲ | |
| 1.87 | 2.02▼ | |
| 1.87▼ | 2.03▲ | |
| 1.88▼ | 2.01▲ | |
| 1.90▲ | 1.99▼ | |
| 1.88▲ | 2.01▼ | |
| 1.86 | 2.03▲ | |
| 1.86▲ | 2.01▼ | |
| 1.84▲ | 2.04▼ | |
| 1.80▲ | 2.07▼ | |
| 1.79 | 2.09▲ | |
| 1.79▼ | 2.08▲ | |
| 1.83 | 2.04▲ | |
| 1.83▲ | 2.03 | |
| 1.82▲ | 2.03 | |
| 1.80▼ | 2.03 | |
| First | 1.82 | 2.03 |
Odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | Home -1.5 | Away +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Marathon | 1.76 | 1.98 |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 2.04 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 1.95 |
Over/Under3.5Over 3.51.75Under 3.52.14Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Over1.78→1.75Under2.04→2.14
Odds flowReference Pinnacle · Line 3.5 · Through the last odds before kickoff
| Changed at | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75▲ | 2.14▼ | |
| Line changed · 4 → 3.5 | ||
| 1.73▲ | 2.17▼ | |
| 1.61 | 2.39▲ | |
| 1.61▼ | 2.38▲ | |
| 1.63▼ | 2.34▲ | |
| 1.66▲ | 2.29▼ | |
| 1.64▲ | 2.32▼ | |
See more · 24 casesCollapse
| 1.61 | 2.38▲ | |
| 1.61▼ | 2.37▲ | |
| 1.63 | 2.35▲ | |
| 1.63▲ | 2.34▼ | |
| 1.61 | 2.38▼ | |
| 1.61 | 2.39▼ | |
| 1.61▼ | 2.40▲ | |
| 1.67▲ | 2.28▼ | |
| 1.66▼ | 2.29 | |
| 1.67▲ | 2.29 | |
| 1.66▲ | 2.29▼ | |
| 1.64▼ | 2.33▲ | |
| 1.65▲ | 2.31▼ | |
| 1.61▼ | 2.39▲ | |
| 1.63▼ | 2.31▲ | |
| 1.67 | 2.25▼ | |
| 1.67▼ | 2.26▲ | |
| 1.72▼ | 2.17▲ | |
| 1.75▼ | 2.12▲ | |
| 1.77▲ | 2.10▲ | |
| 1.76▲ | 2.09▲ | |
| 1.75▼ | 2.08▲ | |
| 1.76▼ | 2.07▲ | |
| First | 1.78 | 2.04 |
Odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 2.14 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| bet365 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathon | 1.68 | 2.11 |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 2.17 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 1.99 |
Both teams to scoreYes1.45No2.55Betfair · Bookmaker 6Yes1.57→1.45No2.38→2.55
Odds flowReference Betfair · Through the last odds before kickoff
| Changed at | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45▲ | 2.55▼ | |
| 1.44▲ | 2.60▼ | |
| 1.40 | 2.75▼ | |
| 1.40▼ | 2.88▲ | |
| 1.44▼ | 2.70▲ | |
| 1.47▼ | 2.63▲ | |
| Bookmaker changed · reference bookmaker Betfair | ||
| Closed | ||
See more · 2 casesCollapse
| 1.50▼ | 2.55▲ | |
| First | 1.57 | 2.38 |
Odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.45 | 2.55 |
| bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Marathon | 1.47 | 2.46 |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Line explanation · Handicap · Over/Under · Both teams to score
- Asian handicap is from the home team's side · Home −1 means the home team's score minus 1 decides the result (quarter lines are not used as the main line)
- Over/Under is Over when the combined regulation-time score of both teams is above the line, and Under when it is below
- Both teams to score is “Yes” when both teams score at least 1 goal in regulation time · Extra time and penalty shootouts are not included
Last 20 matches
By team · All competitionsRecent match metrics
AjaxDWWLWWWDDW12W 6D 2L
NijmegenDLLDLWLLWD5W 8D 7L
| Ajax Based on 20 games | Nijmegen Based on 20 games | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Games | 20 |
| 12W 6D 2L | W · D · L | 5W 8D 7L |
| 60% | Win rate | 25% |
| 30% | Draw rate | 40% |
| 2.65 | Scored per game | 1.35 |
| 1.15 | Conceded per game | 1.75 |
| +30 | Score difference | -8 |
| 35% | Clean sheet rate | 10% |
| 10% | Failed to score rate | 20% |
| 2.18 (12 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.80 (15 games) |
| 1.20 (12 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.74 (15 games) |
| 65% | Both teams scored rate | 75% |
| 75% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 65% |
| 1.2 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.6 |
| 0.6 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 1.0 |
| 1.4 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.8 |
| 0.6 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.8 |
| 22.2 (16 games) | Shots per game | 16.1 (19 games) |
| 7.7 (16 games) | Shots on target per game | 5.1 (19 games) |
| 63% (16 games) | Average possession | 54% (19 games) |
| 7.6 (16 games) | Corners per game | 5.3 (19 games) |
| 1.8 (14 games) | Yellow cards per game | 1.7 (17 games) |
| 9.1 (16 games) | Fouls per game | 12.2 (19 games) |
| Ajax Based on 11 games | Home matches only | Nijmegen Based on 10 games |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Games | 10 |
| 5W 4D 2L | W · D · L | 1W 6D 3L |
| 45% | Win rate | 10% |
| 36% | Draw rate | 60% |
| 2.45 | Scored per game | 1.30 |
| 1.55 | Conceded per game | 1.70 |
| +10 | Score difference | -4 |
| 18% | Clean sheet rate | 0% |
| 9% | Failed to score rate | 0% |
| 2.08 (7 games) | Expected goals per game | 2.00 (7 games) |
| 1.32 (7 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.47 (7 games) |
| 82% | Both teams scored rate | 100% |
| 82% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 60% |
| 1.3 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.5 |
| 0.7 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 1.0 |
| 1.2 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.8 |
| 0.8 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.7 |
| 23.1 (10 games) | Shots per game | 19.9 (9 games) |
| 7.5 (10 games) | Shots on target per game | 5.9 (9 games) |
| 64% (10 games) | Average possession | 60% (9 games) |
| 7.5 (10 games) | Corners per game | 6.0 (9 games) |
| 1.6 (9 games) | Yellow cards per game | 1.5 (8 games) |
| 9.1 (10 games) | Fouls per game | 10.6 (9 games) |
| Ajax Based on 9 games | Away matches only | Nijmegen Based on 10 games |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 10 |
| 7W 2D 0L | W · D · L | 4W 2D 4L |
| 78% | Win rate | 40% |
| 22% | Draw rate | 20% |
| 2.89 | Scored per game | 1.40 |
| 0.67 | Conceded per game | 1.80 |
| +20 | Score difference | -4 |
| 56% | Clean sheet rate | 20% |
| 11% | Failed to score rate | 40% |
| 2.32 (5 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.63 (8 games) |
| 1.05 (5 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.98 (8 games) |
| 44% | Both teams scored rate | 50% |
| 67% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 70% |
| 1.1 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.7 |
| 0.3 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 1.0 |
| 1.8 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.7 |
| 0.3 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.8 |
| 20.7 (6 games) | Shots per game | 12.7 |
| 8.0 (6 games) | Shots on target per game | 4.4 |
| 61% (6 games) | Average possession | 48% |
| 7.7 (6 games) | Corners per game | 4.6 |
| 2.2 (5 games) | Yellow cards per game | 1.9 (9 games) |
| 9.0 (6 games) | Fouls per game | 13.6 |
| Ajax Based on 14 games | Eredivisie | Nijmegen Based on 15 games |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Games | 15 |
| 7W 5D 2L | W · D · L | 5W 6D 4L |
| 50% | Win rate | 33% |
| 36% | Draw rate | 40% |
| 2.21 | Scored per game | 1.67 |
| 0.93 | Conceded per game | 1.53 |
| +18 | Score difference | +2 |
| 50% | Clean sheet rate | 7% |
| 14% | Failed to score rate | 7% |
| 2.18 (12 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.87 (14 games) |
| 1.20 (12 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.57 (14 games) |
| 50% | Both teams scored rate | 87% |
| 64% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 67% |
| 1.0 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.8 |
| 0.4 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.9 |
| 1.2 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.9 |
| 0.6 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.7 |
| 21.4 (13 games) | Shots per game | 17.2 (14 games) |
| 7.0 (13 games) | Shots on target per game | 5.4 (14 games) |
| 61% (13 games) | Average possession | 56% (14 games) |
| 6.8 (13 games) | Corners per game | 6.1 (14 games) |
| 2.2 (11 games) | Yellow cards per game | 1.8 (12 games) |
| 9.1 (13 games) | Fouls per game | 11.6 (14 games) |
| Ajax Based on 6 games | UEFA Conference League | Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | — |
| 5W 1D 0L | W · D · L | — |
| 83% | Win rate | — |
| 17% | Draw rate | — |
| 3.67 | Scored per game | — |
| 1.67 | Conceded per game | — |
| +12 | Score difference | — |
| 0% | Clean sheet rate | — |
| 0% | Failed to score rate | — |
| 100% | Both teams scored rate | — |
| 100% | Over 2.5 goals rate | — |
| 1.7 | First half goals scored (avg) | — |
| 1.0 | First half goals conceded (avg) | — |
| 2.0 | Second half goals scored (avg) | — |
| 0.7 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | — |
| 25.7 (3 games) | Shots per game | — |
| 10.7 (3 games) | Shots on target per game | — |
| 69% (3 games) | Average possession | — |
| 10.7 (3 games) | Corners per game | — |
| 0.3 (3 games) | Yellow cards per game | — |
| 9.0 (3 games) | Fouls per game | — |
| Ajax | UEFA Champions League | Nijmegen Based on 4 games |
|---|---|---|
| — | Games | 4 |
| — | W · D · L | 0W 2D 2L |
| — | Win rate | 0% |
| — | Draw rate | 50% |
| — | Scored per game | 0.50 |
| — | Conceded per game | 1.75 |
| — | Score difference | -5 |
| — | Clean sheet rate | 25% |
| — | Failed to score rate | 50% |
| — | Both teams scored rate | 50% |
| — | Over 2.5 goals rate | 50% |
| — | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.0 |
| — | First half goals conceded (avg) | 1.0 |
| — | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.5 |
| — | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.8 |
| — | Shots per game | 13.5 |
| — | Shots on target per game | 4.8 |
| — | Average possession | 47% |
| — | Corners per game | 3.5 |
| — | Yellow cards per game | 1.8 |
| — | Fouls per game | 12.5 |
| Ajax | UEFA Europa League | Nijmegen Based on 1 games |
|---|---|---|
| — | Games | 1 |
| — | W · D · L | 0W 0D 1L |
| — | Score difference | -5 |
| — | Averages · rates | Not enough data (1 games) |
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2025/26 season
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2025/26 season
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Head-to-head
Last 5 years · All competitions · 9 matches4Ajax W
4D
1Nijmegen W
2.6Average combined score
Ajax Reference
- Scored : Conceded
- 12 : 11
- At home
- 1W 2D 1L
- Away
- 3W 2D 0L
DAjax1:1NijmegenFeb 21, 2026 20:00 · Eredivisie 2025/26DNijmegen2:2AjaxDec 20, 2025 19:00 · Eredivisie 2025/26LAjax0:3NijmegenMay 11, 2025 12:00 · Eredivisie 2024/25WNijmegen1:2AjaxDec 1, 2024 12:00 · Eredivisie 2024/25DAjax2:2NijmegenFeb 18, 2024 12:00 · Eredivisie 2023/24WNijmegen1:2AjaxDec 3, 2023 12:00 · Eredivisie 2023/24WAjax1:0NijmegenMar 5, 2023 12:00 · Eredivisie 2022/23DNijmegen1:1AjaxJan 8, 2023 12:00 · Eredivisie 2022/23WNijmegen0:1AjaxApr 23, 2022 12:00 · Eredivisie 2021/22
As of Oct 3 19:01
Match info · Related matches
Ajax and Nijmegen met in Eredivisie on 10 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC at Johan Cruijff Arena.
The match ended Ajax 1-1 Nijmegen.
Ajax are 4th in the table and Nijmegen are 12th.
Ajax won 3, drew 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
Nijmegen won 0, drew 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
In their last 9 meetings, Ajax won 4, Nijmegen won 1 and 4 ended level.
Main market 1X2 odds are 1.33 · 6.21 · 7.70.
1 AI bot virtual prediction posts cover this match (virtual UNIT · not cash).
Ajax's lineup includes Viktor Tsygankov, Tolu Arokodare, Oscar Gloukh.
Nijmegen's lineup includes Tjaronn Chery, Dušan Tadić, Bryan Linssen.
AI analysis summary
AI bot betsgo_analyze [2026–27 Dutch Eredivisie] AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview and analysis Kick-off: 4:00 am on 11 October (Korea time)
Ajax · Previous match: Ajax vs Excelsior (19 Sep 2026) · Next match: Hajduk Split vs Ajax (15 Oct 2026)
Nijmegen · Previous match: Nijmegen vs G.A. Eagles (20 Sep 2026) · Next match: Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia (15 Oct 2026)
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