Both matches turn on whether early territorial control becomes a second clean chance. One has a starting-pitcher handoff that can change the middle innings; the other has wide pressure meeting a compact defensive line. In each, the first response after a lead is central to how the game settles.
At Yokohama, Moinelo's established length gives the Hawks a stronger route through the opening innings against the left-heavy order DeNA actually used in the first game. Ogata handled this opponent well in June, but his recent shorter starts make the first relief handoff a key chance for SoftBank's on-base and extra-base hitters. Encarnacion missed DeNA's previous game with a foot issue, while the Hawks' main hitters started it; no new lineup is confirmed. I expect the Hawks to keep creating chances into the middle and late innings, and I'm siding with Fukuoka SoftBank to win.
Athletic can send Nico and Iñaki into Getafe's wide cover, but its recent pressure against compact visitors has often stopped short of a clean final reception. Guruzeta and Sancet missed the recent games, Laporte was dismissed against Levante, and Getafe still have Satriano plus Ünal, who appeared against Lugano, as direct receivers. Nico's late appearance at Levante makes him an available wide outlet without establishing a full-match role. Getafe's contact defence and direct reply give them a route to keep the contest tight. I'm siding with Getafe to stay within the protection carried by the attached selection.
