Valencia's useful route runs through Guerra carrying forward and finding a runner beyond the opposing midfield. Villarreal bring stronger pressure, making the quality of those home exits central to the contest. Lens and Paris FC also meet around pressure and the next delivery, with Lens retaining creative supply despite recent defeats. In both matches, possession needs to become a supported reception before it becomes a good chance.
Guerra released dangerous runners in both of Aguirre's matches, and Otorbi's introductions added penetration. The Athletic draw also showed improved defensive spacing from the available Valencia core. Villarreal created chances despite extensive changes against Elche, so the home case rests on its own outlet and continuity.
Valencia's current exclusions were already absent from the Athletic squad. Maffeo and the Tárrega–De Haas partnership preserve the demonstrated defensive roles, while Villarreal still have Cardona's forward route and Comesaña's passing alternative with Saliba's condition unresolved. I expect a competitive opening, followed by opportunities for Valencia's carriers and wide changes to influence the later phases. That's why I'm siding with Valencia to come away unbeaten.
Lens still created varied chances at Brugge, with Cuisance supplying the next pass and Thauvin adding delivery after entering. Paris's Sinayoko–Lopez combinations work well against an unsettled defence, while their Lorient possession produced fewer clean openings against a compact shape.
Lens's squad excludes Edouard after his substitute appearance at Brugge, but Thauvin, Sotoca and Ivanovic remain available and are expected to form the front group. Paris's projected side largely retains the Rennes starters; Ikone and Sangui were already absent. I expect Lens's pressure and varied deliveries to provide a continuing home attacking route. That's why I'm siding with Lens, with the draw protected.
