AZ's first forward pass faces Twente's pressure and recovery of second balls. Udinese's meeting with Milan also turns on whether an initial forward reception gains enough support. The attacking relationships and protection after possession changes give these matches their shape.
Twente can find Weghorst and a following runner through different routes, including Rots' pass behind the defence and Van Rooij's delivery. AZ's domestic difficulties occurred even with Clasie and Goes present, so the case does not require both to miss out. Their current fitness remains under assessment; Smit, Resink and Hornkamp are out. Twente's defensive absences continue from Europe, with Drommel, Pröpper and Nijstad already used as replacements. I expect AZ's fresh wide options to contest Twente's pressure, with the next controlled pass especially important. That's why I'm siding with Twente to come away unbeaten.
Milan's remaining distributors can connect Pulisic and the returning Ramos against an unsettled Udinese defence. Ramos missed the European match and is reported recovered. Rabiot and Moreira are fresh losses after appearing in that match, while Udinese lose Alaba and Zanoli and have Solet doubtful after all three featured against Lecce.
Davis and his supporting attackers were already present during Udinese's recent poor shooting performances. Milan's restored central target gives their territorial pressure a more direct purpose, and the home side must also defend the next contact at corners. That's why I'm siding with Milan to win.
