The USMNT's window looks better on the scoreboard than it did on the pitch, and that's what this match turns on. The market has swung hard toward the hosts after Canada's injury news, on top of three straight US wins. But two of those wins came with help, and Canada's press runs through players who are all still available. Jesse Marsch's side should be able to make this a real contest.
Look at how the US results came. Mexico played the last 23 minutes or so with ten men after a red card, and the US scored three from just eight shots. Against Chile it was 4-2, but Chile had 17 shots, 8 on target and 13 corners. That isn't a team in control. It's a team trading chances and finishing them.
This is also the fourth game of a long window for Pochettino's group, and he's still rotating and trying young players. Up front it's thin: Ricardo Pepi is out, Haji Wright is listed doubtful, and Malik Tillman came off injured late against Mexico and is also listed doubtful.
Canada's problems are at the back. Johnston, Cornelius and Alfie Jones are out, and Davies isn't with the team. The predicted back four is Sigur, De Fougerolles, Knight-Lebel and Laryea. But the press that defines Marsch's team runs through Eustáquio and Saliba in midfield, with Dayne St. Clair in goal, and all of them are available. Jonathan David leads the line.
The matchup suits them. The US have been giving up shots and set pieces, and Canada's game is built on pressing high and winning corners. Canada have also won the last two meetings, both 2-1, one of them on US soil, and Marsch has won both of his games against the US.
