Both matches look like games decided by tired or thinned defensive units rather than by one dominant side.
In the World Series game, both bullpens were drained by the previous game, which went into extra innings. The Brewers' young starter has not gone past five innings in any of his playoff starts, and the Rays have not announced a starter, with an elimination game that pushes managers to change pitchers early. That sends several innings to worn-out relievers on both sides. The Rays lineup has been quiet lately, but the Brewers have scored plenty against them in this series. I expect the runs to arrive in the later innings, and that's why I'm on the high-scoring side here.
In Dallas, both teams create real chances: each averages roughly 1.7 to 1.9 expected goals and each scores more than three goals a game in league play. Columbus is missing defenders and a midfielder, and Dallas has been scoring late goals and penalties. A cautious 1-0 at home is possible, but the numbers lean toward an open game, so I'm on the goals side here.
