Rennes' renewed back five meets a Nice side that wants to reach its right wing and then the box. The first Rennes press can create a direct chance, while Nice's wide release can turn the wing-backs around. The next ball after either side clears the opening pressure should decide who gets the cleaner finish.
Clauss has supplied Wahi from the right, and Diop added a late regain and finish against Brest. Nice have prepared for both Rennes shapes, while Rennes had only one practice in the new shape and now replace Samba, who played the last match before his thigh problem. Nice also need a new defensive role because Seidu played at Brest but is ineligible here; Clauss played that match and was expected available. The repeated Clauss-to-Wahi delivery and Diop's second contact are why I'm siding with Nice to win.
Elversberg invite pressure and then attack the space behind an advancing wing-back. Mainz can supply dangerous crosses through Becker and Caci, so the first wide duel and the recovered clearance matter at both ends. This should be a contest of direct exits and second balls rather than uninterrupted possession.
Petkov and Schmahl combined for a late home goal against Augsburg, while Campbell and Günther supplied repeated wide service in recent action. Campbell, Günther and Pinckert all played the cup match; Mainz's Kohr and Silas missed theirs, and Fischer said Mainz's compactness and defensive cover still need repair after a short preparation. Elversberg's receivers can keep finding the next ball even after a Mainz advance. That's why I'm siding with Elversberg to take something from this match.
