Lanús won its last league match while taking far fewer shots than Estudiantes; Newell's recent win at Platense came from an early lead and limiting the opponent's chances. That makes this matchup more interesting than the table alone: can Newell's keep Lanús away from the useful spaces without giving up the ball in dangerous spots? And if Lanús again has little of the ball, will its chances be clean enough to matter?
The contrast comes from different opponents, so I wouldn't turn it into a prediction. Against Estudiantes, Lanús had 6 shots to 24 and still won 2–1; the recorded chances were much closer than that shot count suggests. At Platense, Newell's had 43% possession and held the hosts to 5 shots, though Platense also had a late red card. I want to watch the quality of entries before the shot totals start telling their own story.
