Napoli's strong home box supply runs into a Bodø side that has several ways to escape pressure and attack wide space. The visiting midfield and wing combinations have created against strong opponents, while Napoli's replacement defence has had trouble resetting after a concession. Porto and PSV should also trade spells of pressure and second-ball contests. Porto's varied finishers meet a PSV defence that has allowed more clear access than its recent scorelines suggest.
Berg and Auklend can release Sjøvold and Hauge when Napoli push through Lobotka, and Mvuka has already supplied a scoring route with Blomberg's fitness uncertain. Napoli can now use Højlund and De Bruyne from the start after both entered at Venezia, but Bodø's recent outlets give the visitors a way to answer sustained home entries. Their established midfield and wide roles have played through the other listed absences. That's why I'm siding with Bodø/Glimt to keep this contest close.
Porto have Pepê and Veiga to connect the midfield to Samu or André Silva, and those creators played at Betis. PSV can press and reach Porto's left side, yet Van Bommel is absent after a major role at Leipzig, while Til left the Den Haag match early and Perišić did not play it. PSV's current defensive unit conceded quality chances to Leipzig and Heerenveen, including recycled balls around the box. I expect Porto's multiple finishing routes and pressure after turnovers to carry more of the decisive chances. That's why I'm siding with Porto to win.
