Brisbane's new forward press meets an Auckland side that has struggled to play through its first pass. The contest can turn on whether the first loose ball becomes a clean cutback or whether Auckland releases its wide runners beyond that pressure. Both teams also have a second route from restarts or loose clearances, so the opening goal need not settle the shape of the match.
Vidic and Postolachi pressed Perth's first exit, and Russell's interception and cutback gave Vidic a clear finish. Nam then scored from a separate second ball. Auckland's Gallegos and Brimmer were caught ahead of play against Western Sydney, leaving space for the same kind of break, while Sakai, Bayliss and Brook give Auckland a way to move past Brisbane's advanced wings.
Auckland's Cosgrove is suspended after playing both of its league games, taking a central hold-up and finishing presence out of the side. The other Auckland absences were already in place in its last match, while Brisbane's pressing forwards and Nam remain in the named squad.
Brisbane should press Woud's early distribution and look for Russell or Nam behind the first duel. Auckland can answer through Bayliss and Brook or De Vries' corners, especially as midfield pushes forward after a goal. Brisbane's press against Auckland's recent exit problems, plus its separate second-ball finish, carry the greater weight for me. That's why I'm siding with Brisbane Roar.
