Twente have more than one way to move from a protected first pass into the box. Pafos can defend compactly and break through Sema or Correia, but their recent European finishing has depended heavily on one receiver. This matchup turns on whether those breaks reach a clean finish after Twente's pressure resets.
Ørjasæter has delivered into Weghorst's box positions, and Twente also found a late transition and a direct goalkeeper pass against AZ. Their huge Excelsior score came against ten players, so the more useful comparison is the separate supply shown against AZ. Pafos's two European goals were finished by Biel; he played and scored against Riga, then missed Apollon, and current travel reports rule him out along with Pepe, Goldar and Ngamaleu. Twente's Drommel, Pröpper and Nijstad played the last match, while the club says Weidmann returns and Unnerstall remains unavailable.
Twente can press and serve the box early, then settle into the lower block they used after taking the lead at AZ. Pafos can still release a runner, but their current routes have a larger gap between the first reception and the final shot without Biel. That's why I'm siding with this match ending with at least one of Twente or Pafos scoreless.
