Sittard's quick attacks leave long spells for Excelsior to build through midfield and the wings. Inter's repeated wide entries will test whether Fiorentina can clear the first shot and the next ball. Bilbao can also control territory, but Getafe's direct play gives them a separate route into the box. In all three matches, finishing and the next defensive possession matter more than possession alone.
Sittard have scored from selective pressure and fast deliveries, yet opponents have kept reaching their area. Excelsior's Yegoian, Sliti and Garden played the last match, while Naujoks returned only briefly; Sittard's Descotte played his last match despite a later uncertain illness label. If Excelsior clears the first Sittard wave, its midfield and wide supply can sustain attacks against the home back five. That's why I'm siding with Excelsior to avoid defeat.
Inter can release their wingbacks repeatedly and add fresh finishers after the interval. Fiorentina created early chances against Como and can use Fagioli's next pass or a restart second contact to answer that pressure. Ranieri missed Fiorentina's last match, but Pongračić and Drăguşin already played together; Inter's wide and goalkeeper roles may rotate after Europe. I expect Fiorentina to make enough clearances and replies to keep the margin close. That's why I'm siding with Fiorentina to remain within reach.
Bilbao have had plenty of ball without consistently finding a clean central finish. Guruzeta and Sancet missed their last match, Nico had only a brief appearance, and Laporte is suspended after playing and being sent off. Getafe's Ünal played briefly in its last game and Satriano has supplied a recent equaliser, giving the visitors a direct answer to Bilbao's first-pass errors. That's why I'm siding with Getafe to keep this match tight.
