Fiorentina and Sassuolo should find space on the wings as both sides try to move their wide players forward. The finish after the first delivery matters more than long spells of possession. Atalanta should spend more time around Parma's box in the other match, but Parma's crowded centre can make each final touch difficult. Both games turn on what happens after a defender or goalkeeper stops the first attack.
Berardi and Laurienté give Sassuolo direct access to the space behind Fiorentina's advancing fullbacks, with Esposito arriving for the central finish. Fiorentina's Jiménez and Njie can answer from wide areas, but their recent away chances and the accuracy of their Atalanta shooting were less convincing than the raw volume. Idzes and Matić are possible Sassuolo starters rather than confirmed ones, while Fiorentina's changed defensive pairing is a current part of this matchup. Sassuolo can keep feeding those wings after the first exchange. That's why I'm siding with Sassuolo to hold their own at home.
Atalanta's De Ketelaere and Zalewski can reach Krstović around Parma's midfield screen. Parma's back five, Troilo and Daffara have shown they can end those attacks, and Romero or Touré can carry the reply into Atalanta's altered back line. Bernabé is newly unavailable, so Parma's final pass needs more from those direct outlets. Atalanta can add fresh wide creators later, but its recent territory has not consistently become clean repeat finishes. That's why I'm siding with Parma to stay close.