Rennes can stretch Strasbourg through width and arrivals at the far side of the box. Marseille can also establish territory through restored wide suppliers, while Le Havre retain outlets beyond the first pressure. The decisive work in both games comes after the initial delivery, when runners and second balls need attention.
Rennes demonstrated a working replacement attack in Turin: Nagida's cross, Reynolds' far-side contact and Tamari's arrival connected without Lepaul. Strasbourg recently struggled to stop wide entries at Nice and to protect subsequent actions against PSG. Lepaul remains absent, while Baldé's new absence changes Strasbourg's left-sided option; Nanasi and Panichelli already missed PSG. Rennes should seek repeated wide access before using their attacking alternatives. That's why I'm siding with Rennes to win.
Le Havre's Nakamura and Rassoul Ndiaye supplied genuine box opportunities at Lille, and their substitutions produced a response against Auxerre. Their continuing absences were already missing from that roster, while Seko returns from suspension to add a defensive option. Marseille restore players who had lighter European workloads, including Weah, whose service was productive at Angers.
Marseille should have the longer spells of possession. Le Havre's available suppliers and forwards give them a way to answer, against a home side whose attacking success has not consistently brought secure protection. That's why I'm siding with Le Havre to keep the margin close.
