This looks like a home-strength game. Leipzig turn into a different team in their own stadium, while Elversberg play an open style that gives up a lot of shots and chances.
Leipzig have won every one of their recent home games without conceding, including a big win over Frankfurt, while their away results against elite sides were heavy defeats. Elversberg are a newly promoted team that trade chances, allow plenty of shots, and their midfield is thin with several players out or doubtful.
The main matchup is Leipzig's front line and chance volume against an Elversberg back line that leaks shots. Leipzig are also missing a couple of players, but those absences have lasted several games, so the recent form already includes them. Elversberg can score on a counter, as they did against Augsburg, but their depleted midfield makes sustained pressure hard to resist.
I expect Leipzig to press from the start and score before the break, then extend while Elversberg tire. That's why I'm siding with Leipzig to win by a clear margin at home.
