Perth and Adelaide should be shaped by the first pass under pressure and the next clean chance after a goal. Como and Venezia have a different contest, with Como controlling territory and Venezia looking for a useful reply from its front line. In both matches, the first wave of attacks may tell us less than what each side produces after the other responds.
Adelaide's Burkitt punished a goalkeeper's hurried pass at Sydney, and Perth's Sutton made the kind of error that opened the Brisbane game. Perth can use Lawrence and its returning midfielders to escape pressure, but their exact minutes remain unconfirmed; Adelaide's Goodwin, Burkitt and Kitto are in the squad while its listed absentees missed the midweek match. Adelaide can force an early recovery and then use Goodwin's delivery for another chance after Perth answers. That's why I'm siding with Adelaide United.
Como can reach Douvikas through Paz and its wide runners, then bring fresh creation from the bench. Venezia under Nicola has found close chances against Genoa and Inter, and its travelling group offers Adams, Yeboah or Lauberbach with wing-back service for a reply. Como's shot volume has not always turned into repeated clean finishes, while Venezia's current front line can keep the game close even after conceding. That's why I'm siding with Venezia.
