Two Sultanlar Ligi matches, both read mostly from set results because serve and receive numbers were not available. In the first, the table and the away record point in one clear direction. In the second, the gap is smaller and the two sides are much closer in shape, with one team more stable than the other.
THY at home against Ilbank. THY is third after five rounds with four wins and a positive set difference, and in its last ten it scores around two and a half sets while conceding fewer than two per match. Ilbank is ninth, has won only at home, and has lost all four away league games, scoring just four sets while conceding twelve. THY's usual shape is a 3-1 or 3-0 win. Ilbank's best route is long, even sets, as in its two 30-point sets against Zeren Spor, but it has not turned that into away results. That's why I'm siding with THY to win the match.
Nilufer at home against Aras Kargo. Nilufer is eleventh with one win in five and a negative set difference. It has lost sets by big margins and gave away a 2-0 lead at Kuzey Boru. Aras Kargo is sixth with three wins in five, including a 3-1 win away at Afyon and a 3-2 over Galatasaray, and added setter Lila Sengun from Nilufer this season. Aras is weaker on the road than at home and the lineup news is old, so this is a modest edge, but the steadier set scoring sits with the visitors. I'm siding with Aras Kargo to win.
