Braga can press Nacional's first pass and work down its right side. Nacional have a direct outlet into Njoya and can send a second ball wide. AZ and Twente should also be shaped by the midfield second ball before their wide attacks begin. Neither contest is settled by possession alone.
Braga's new coach saw Horta, Gorby and Gómez combine for distinct goals against Gent, but that was one home display and Braga's recent away finishing has been thinner. Nacional's Njoya played and scored twice at Rio Ave; the club's listed absences were already missing from that current attacking group. Nacional can get to him from a first release or later wide service, while Braga's short turnaround tests its repeated press. I expect Nacional to keep a receiving and scoring route in the game. That's why I'm siding with Nacional.
AZ can find Patati with Maikuma on the right, though its latest league possession became few clean open play chances. Twente have used Zerrouki and Van den Belt to move the ball toward Rots, Van Rooij and Weghorst, producing repeated supply even after falling behind Utrecht. Twente's replacement central and goalkeeper unit actually played together despite the public absence list; AZ's central absences and uncertain returns affect the other side of that first duel. I expect Twente to sustain enough replies to AZ's wide attacks. That's why I'm siding with Twente.
