Two matches where the home side holds a specific edge: one in defensive solidity, one on the mound.
Melbourne Victory is a tight team at home, with six clean sheets in its last ten, and Central Coast leaks goals on the road and concedes chance quality, not just luck. Victory's weakness is finishing and a midweek continental trip, but the visitors rarely create volume. Victory won the last meeting comfortably. I'm siding with Melbourne Victory to win.
In the deciding playoff game in Daegu, Samsung sends Jurado, who went deep and held KIA to two runs last time, against Oller, who has an ugly record against this lineup and was hit early in the previous meeting. Both bullpens will be used aggressively, but the home park and the starter gap are the clearest edges. That's why I'm siding with the Samsung Lions.
